President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in the National Assembly, requiring any impeachment motion to secure two-thirds support that opposition parties cannot muster without major cross-aisle defections. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected signatures but stalled at the committee stage and produced no legislative action. Approval ratings have slipped into the mid-to-low 40s amid economic and housing concerns, yet these pressures have not translated into parliamentary momentum against the president. With roughly 16 months remaining before the 2027 deadline, the absence of viable procedural pathways sustains trader expectations that impeachment will not occur.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
6% chance
$21,729 Vol.
$21,729 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% chance
$21,729 Vol.
$21,729 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in the National Assembly, requiring any impeachment motion to secure two-thirds support that opposition parties cannot muster without major cross-aisle defections. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected signatures but stalled at the committee stage and produced no legislative action. Approval ratings have slipped into the mid-to-low 40s amid economic and housing concerns, yet these pressures have not translated into parliamentary momentum against the president. With roughly 16 months remaining before the 2027 deadline, the absence of viable procedural pathways sustains trader expectations that impeachment will not occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$21,729End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in the National Assembly, requiring any impeachment motion to secure two-thirds support that opposition parties cannot muster without major cross-aisle defections. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected signatures but stalled at the committee stage and produced no legislative action. Approval ratings have slipped into the mid-to-low 40s amid economic and housing concerns, yet these pressures have not translated into parliamentary momentum against the president. With roughly 16 months remaining before the 2027 deadline, the absence of viable procedural pathways sustains trader expectations that impeachment will not occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$21,729End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in the National Assembly, requiring any impeachment motion to secure two-thirds support that opposition parties cannot muster without major cross-aisle defections. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected signatures but stalled at the committee stage and produced no legislative action. Approval ratings have slipped into the mid-to-low 40s amid economic and housing concerns, yet these pressures have not translated into parliamentary momentum against the president. With roughly 16 months remaining before the 2027 deadline, the absence of viable procedural pathways sustains trader expectations that impeachment will not occur.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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