**Strong growth from the semiconductor-driven AI boom and inflation remaining above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target continue to shape trader expectations for the November policy decision.** Following the August 27 hike to 3%, the latest August CPI print of 3.1% year-over-year—up from 2.8% in July—along with core inflation near 2.6% underscores persistent price pressures tied to energy costs and domestic demand. The central bank’s upgraded 2026 GDP forecast to 3.3% and dot-plot median near 3.25% signal room for further gradual tightening, yet the two consecutive 25-basis-point increases have prompted some analysts to anticipate a pause in October for data assessment. With four meetings remaining through February and the won still vulnerable, market-implied odds of 54% for no change versus 42% for a 25 bp hike reflect trader consensus on a measured approach balancing inflation risks against the need to avoid over-tightening amid robust exports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 54%
25 bps hike 42%
25 bps cut 5.3%
50+ bps cut 1.8%
$12,100 Vol.
$12,100 Vol.
Nov 25, 2026
50+ bps cut
2%
25 bps cut
5%
No Change
54%
25 bps hike
42%
50+ bps hike
1%
No Change 54%
25 bps hike 42%
25 bps cut 5.3%
50+ bps cut 1.8%
$12,100 Vol.
$12,100 Vol.
Nov 25, 2026
50+ bps cut
$411 Vol.
2%
25 bps cut
$378 Vol.
5%
No Change
$6,617 Vol.
54%
25 bps hike
$4,320 Vol.
42%
50+ bps hike
$375 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**Strong growth from the semiconductor-driven AI boom and inflation remaining above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target continue to shape trader expectations for the November policy decision.** Following the August 27 hike to 3%, the latest August CPI print of 3.1% year-over-year—up from 2.8% in July—along with core inflation near 2.6% underscores persistent price pressures tied to energy costs and domestic demand. The central bank’s upgraded 2026 GDP forecast to 3.3% and dot-plot median near 3.25% signal room for further gradual tightening, yet the two consecutive 25-basis-point increases have prompted some analysts to anticipate a pause in October for data assessment. With four meetings remaining through February and the won still vulnerable, market-implied odds of 54% for no change versus 42% for a 25 bp hike reflect trader consensus on a measured approach balancing inflation risks against the need to avoid over-tightening amid robust exports.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volume
$12,100End Date
Nov 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**Strong growth from the semiconductor-driven AI boom and inflation remaining above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target continue to shape trader expectations for the November policy decision.** Following the August 27 hike to 3%, the latest August CPI print of 3.1% year-over-year—up from 2.8% in July—along with core inflation near 2.6% underscores persistent price pressures tied to energy costs and domestic demand. The central bank’s upgraded 2026 GDP forecast to 3.3% and dot-plot median near 3.25% signal room for further gradual tightening, yet the two consecutive 25-basis-point increases have prompted some analysts to anticipate a pause in October for data assessment. With four meetings remaining through February and the won still vulnerable, market-implied odds of 54% for no change versus 42% for a 25 bp hike reflect trader consensus on a measured approach balancing inflation risks against the need to avoid over-tightening amid robust exports.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volume
$12,100End Date
Nov 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong growth from the semiconductor-driven AI boom and inflation remaining above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target continue to shape trader expectations for the November policy decision.** Following the August 27 hike to 3%, the latest August CPI print of 3.1% year-over-year—up from 2.8% in July—along with core inflation near 2.6% underscores persistent price pressures tied to energy costs and domestic demand. The central bank’s upgraded 2026 GDP forecast to 3.3% and dot-plot median near 3.25% signal room for further gradual tightening, yet the two consecutive 25-basis-point increases have prompted some analysts to anticipate a pause in October for data assessment. With four meetings remaining through February and the won still vulnerable, market-implied odds of 54% for no change versus 42% for a 25 bp hike reflect trader consensus on a measured approach balancing inflation risks against the need to avoid over-tightening amid robust exports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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