Recent seismic monitoring from the USGS and global catalogs indicates steady M5.5+ activity along Pacific plate boundaries, with confirmed events including a 6.3 offshore Alaska on September 3, a 6.2 in the South Sandwich Islands on September 2, and multiple 5.5–5.6 shocks near the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Indonesia through September 6. This pattern aligns with typical weekly global rates of 10–15 such quakes, driven by normal subduction zone strain release rather than unusual swarms or aftershock sequences. No major deviations from baseline frequency or significant model updates have shifted expectations, supporting trader consensus around 12–13 events for the August 31–September 6 window. Final resolution depends on the complete official tally once all detections are verified.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?
12 57%
13 28%
more than 13 16%
11 1.0%
$41,615 Vol.
$41,615 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
≤6
<1%
7
<1%
8
<1%
9
<1%
10
<1%
11
1%
12
57%
13
28%
more than 13
16%
12 57%
13 28%
more than 13 16%
11 1.0%
$41,615 Vol.
$41,615 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
≤6
$10,722 Vol.
<1%
7
$3,073 Vol.
<1%
8
$1,599 Vol.
<1%
9
$1,996 Vol.
<1%
10
$3,474 Vol.
<1%
11
$5,303 Vol.
1%
12
$4,318 Vol.
57%
13
$1,560 Vol.
28%
more than 13
$9,569 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic monitoring from the USGS and global catalogs indicates steady M5.5+ activity along Pacific plate boundaries, with confirmed events including a 6.3 offshore Alaska on September 3, a 6.2 in the South Sandwich Islands on September 2, and multiple 5.5–5.6 shocks near the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Indonesia through September 6. This pattern aligns with typical weekly global rates of 10–15 such quakes, driven by normal subduction zone strain release rather than unusual swarms or aftershock sequences. No major deviations from baseline frequency or significant model updates have shifted expectations, supporting trader consensus around 12–13 events for the August 31–September 6 window. Final resolution depends on the complete official tally once all detections are verified.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Volume
$41,615End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent seismic monitoring from the USGS and global catalogs indicates steady M5.5+ activity along Pacific plate boundaries, with confirmed events including a 6.3 offshore Alaska on September 3, a 6.2 in the South Sandwich Islands on September 2, and multiple 5.5–5.6 shocks near the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Indonesia through September 6. This pattern aligns with typical weekly global rates of 10–15 such quakes, driven by normal subduction zone strain release rather than unusual swarms or aftershock sequences. No major deviations from baseline frequency or significant model updates have shifted expectations, supporting trader consensus around 12–13 events for the August 31–September 6 window. Final resolution depends on the complete official tally once all detections are verified.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$41,615End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent seismic monitoring from the USGS and global catalogs indicates steady M5.5+ activity along Pacific plate boundaries, with confirmed events including a 6.3 offshore Alaska on September 3, a 6.2 in the South Sandwich Islands on September 2, and multiple 5.5–5.6 shocks near the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Indonesia through September 6. This pattern aligns with typical weekly global rates of 10–15 such quakes, driven by normal subduction zone strain release rather than unusual swarms or aftershock sequences. No major deviations from baseline frequency or significant model updates have shifted expectations, supporting trader consensus around 12–13 events for the August 31–September 6 window. Final resolution depends on the complete official tally once all detections are verified.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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