Kate O’Flynn’s breakout turn as the eccentric, scene-stealing assistant Patricia in Apple TV’s horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” drives the 68.8% implied probability, fueled by the series’ 19 Emmy nominations, strong critical reception for its tonal blend, and late-season momentum that positioned it as a fresh contender. Trader consensus reflects industry preference for new talent in this category, where voters have favored first-time winners in recent cycles over repeat recognition. Hannah Einbinder’s 24.5% share for the final season of “Hacks” stems from her prior win and consistent work, yet faces headwinds from campaign fatigue. Lower-priced options like Michelle Pfeiffer and Janelle James trail amid the frontrunner’s surge. The Sept. 14 ceremony and final voting window remain key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 68.8%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 25%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” 4.5%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 4.5%
$34,022 Vol.
$34,022 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
69%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
25%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
5%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
2%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
1%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
1%
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 68.8%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 25%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” 4.5%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 4.5%
$34,022 Vol.
$34,022 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
69%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
25%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
5%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
2%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
1%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kate O’Flynn’s breakout turn as the eccentric, scene-stealing assistant Patricia in Apple TV’s horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” drives the 68.8% implied probability, fueled by the series’ 19 Emmy nominations, strong critical reception for its tonal blend, and late-season momentum that positioned it as a fresh contender. Trader consensus reflects industry preference for new talent in this category, where voters have favored first-time winners in recent cycles over repeat recognition. Hannah Einbinder’s 24.5% share for the final season of “Hacks” stems from her prior win and consistent work, yet faces headwinds from campaign fatigue. Lower-priced options like Michelle Pfeiffer and Janelle James trail amid the frontrunner’s surge. The Sept. 14 ceremony and final voting window remain key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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