Chud the Builder, the IRL streamer Dalton Eatherly, faces attempted murder and related felony charges from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, plus separate misdemeanors tied to a Nashville restaurant incident. The market-implied odds favoring no conviction stem primarily from the case’s pre-trial status: proceedings have advanced only to grand jury review, no trial date has been set, and Eatherly was released on $1 million bond in early August under house arrest and GPS monitoring after two months in custody. Traders appear to weigh the self-defense narrative he advanced in livestreams, the slow pace of Tennessee felony cases, and the possibility of plea negotiations or procedural delays extending well into 2027. Upcoming catalysts include any grand jury indictment outcomes or bond violation hearings that could accelerate or stall momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dalton Eatherly is convicted of any criminal offense in the ongoing State of Tennessee v. Dalton Levi Eatherly (63GS1-2026-CR-5295) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If all charges in this case are dropped, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Chud the Builder, the IRL streamer Dalton Eatherly, faces attempted murder and related felony charges from a May 2026 courthouse shooting in Clarksville, Tennessee, plus separate misdemeanors tied to a Nashville restaurant incident. The market-implied odds favoring no conviction stem primarily from the case’s pre-trial status: proceedings have advanced only to grand jury review, no trial date has been set, and Eatherly was released on $1 million bond in early August under house arrest and GPS monitoring after two months in custody. Traders appear to weigh the self-defense narrative he advanced in livestreams, the slow pace of Tennessee felony cases, and the possibility of plea negotiations or procedural delays extending well into 2027. Upcoming catalysts include any grand jury indictment outcomes or bond violation hearings that could accelerate or stall momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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