Mustapha Gubio holds an 85.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in Borno’s 2027 governorship race because he secured the All Progressives Congress nomination through a consensus process backed by incumbent Governor Babagana Zulum. Zulum presented Gubio to Vice President Kashim Shettima in early September 2026 after extensive party consultations, with Gubio emerging unopposed in the May APC primary. Traders view the ruling party’s organizational strength and continuity in post-insurgency reconstruction as decisive advantages ahead of the February 2027 vote. Babagana Buhari’s September ADC primary win and Ibrahim Abba Gana’s PDP candidacy register far lower shares, reflecting limited opposition infrastructure in the state. No other named contenders show material movement in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMustapha Gubio 86%
Ibrahim Abba Gana 7.9%
Babagana Buhari 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Mustapha Gubio
86%
Ibrahim Abba Gana
8%
Babagana Buhari
2%
Mustapha Gubio 86%
Ibrahim Abba Gana 7.9%
Babagana Buhari 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Mustapha Gubio
$4,541 Vol.
86%
Ibrahim Abba Gana
$1,365 Vol.
8%
Babagana Buhari
$99 Vol.
2%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Borno State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mustapha Gubio holds an 85.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in Borno’s 2027 governorship race because he secured the All Progressives Congress nomination through a consensus process backed by incumbent Governor Babagana Zulum. Zulum presented Gubio to Vice President Kashim Shettima in early September 2026 after extensive party consultations, with Gubio emerging unopposed in the May APC primary. Traders view the ruling party’s organizational strength and continuity in post-insurgency reconstruction as decisive advantages ahead of the February 2027 vote. Babagana Buhari’s September ADC primary win and Ibrahim Abba Gana’s PDP candidacy register far lower shares, reflecting limited opposition infrastructure in the state. No other named contenders show material movement in recent weeks.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Borno State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
Volume
$6,005End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Borno State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mustapha Gubio holds an 85.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in Borno’s 2027 governorship race because he secured the All Progressives Congress nomination through a consensus process backed by incumbent Governor Babagana Zulum. Zulum presented Gubio to Vice President Kashim Shettima in early September 2026 after extensive party consultations, with Gubio emerging unopposed in the May APC primary. Traders view the ruling party’s organizational strength and continuity in post-insurgency reconstruction as decisive advantages ahead of the February 2027 vote. Babagana Buhari’s September ADC primary win and Ibrahim Abba Gana’s PDP candidacy register far lower shares, reflecting limited opposition infrastructure in the state. No other named contenders show material movement in recent weeks.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Borno State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$6,005End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mustapha Gubio holds an 85.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in Borno’s 2027 governorship race because he secured the All Progressives Congress nomination through a consensus process backed by incumbent Governor Babagana Zulum. Zulum presented Gubio to Vice President Kashim Shettima in early September 2026 after extensive party consultations, with Gubio emerging unopposed in the May APC primary. Traders view the ruling party’s organizational strength and continuity in post-insurgency reconstruction as decisive advantages ahead of the February 2027 vote. Babagana Buhari’s September ADC primary win and Ibrahim Abba Gana’s PDP candidacy register far lower shares, reflecting limited opposition infrastructure in the state. No other named contenders show material movement in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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