Brazil’s Senate has accumulated 109 impeachment requests against STF justices, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid recent internal court disputes and revelations tied to banker Daniel Vorcaro. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has consistently declined to advance any petitions, consistent with prior leadership that archived or rejected similar filings. Removal requires Senate approval under strict procedural rules established by the 1950 impeachment law, with no justice ever successfully removed through this mechanism. The short window before 2027, combined with the current Senate composition and Lula administration support for the court, reinforces the high procedural and political barriers. Upcoming October elections could shift dynamics, yet analysts note insufficient votes for the two-thirds threshold or equivalent hurdles in the interim.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated9% chance
$87,623 Vol.
$87,623 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% chance
$87,623 Vol.
$87,623 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate has accumulated 109 impeachment requests against STF justices, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid recent internal court disputes and revelations tied to banker Daniel Vorcaro. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has consistently declined to advance any petitions, consistent with prior leadership that archived or rejected similar filings. Removal requires Senate approval under strict procedural rules established by the 1950 impeachment law, with no justice ever successfully removed through this mechanism. The short window before 2027, combined with the current Senate composition and Lula administration support for the court, reinforces the high procedural and political barriers. Upcoming October elections could shift dynamics, yet analysts note insufficient votes for the two-thirds threshold or equivalent hurdles in the interim.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$87,623End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate has accumulated 109 impeachment requests against STF justices, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid recent internal court disputes and revelations tied to banker Daniel Vorcaro. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has consistently declined to advance any petitions, consistent with prior leadership that archived or rejected similar filings. Removal requires Senate approval under strict procedural rules established by the 1950 impeachment law, with no justice ever successfully removed through this mechanism. The short window before 2027, combined with the current Senate composition and Lula administration support for the court, reinforces the high procedural and political barriers. Upcoming October elections could shift dynamics, yet analysts note insufficient votes for the two-thirds threshold or equivalent hurdles in the interim.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$87,623End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil’s Senate has accumulated 109 impeachment requests against STF justices, concentrated on Alexandre de Moraes amid recent internal court disputes and revelations tied to banker Daniel Vorcaro. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has consistently declined to advance any petitions, consistent with prior leadership that archived or rejected similar filings. Removal requires Senate approval under strict procedural rules established by the 1950 impeachment law, with no justice ever successfully removed through this mechanism. The short window before 2027, combined with the current Senate composition and Lula administration support for the court, reinforces the high procedural and political barriers. Upcoming October elections could shift dynamics, yet analysts note insufficient votes for the two-thirds threshold or equivalent hurdles in the interim.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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