Deficit predictions & odds

Economy·Deficit

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$24.0K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

38%

700–800B

$24.0K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Politics·Trump

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

$3.0K Vol.

$262 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

$3.0K Vol.

$262 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Social Security Insolvent by...?

$394 Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

17%

December 31, 2028

$394 Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$17.1K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$17.1K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Economy

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$13.1K Vol.

$452 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

$13.1K Vol.

$452 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Government Shutdown

Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

$2.5K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

$2.5K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Economy

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$18.1K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

$42 trillion

$18.1K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Stablecoins

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?

$301K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

27%

USD0

$301K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Taxes

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

$71.5K Vol.

$733 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

18%

$71.5K Vol.

$733 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Argentina Primera DivisióN

CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$271 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

33%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$271 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Sports·Argentina Primera DivisióN

CA Lanús vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

38%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Politics·Congress

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

$587 Vol.

$170 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

34%

$587 Vol.

$170 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Sports·Argentina Primera DivisióN

CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

$0 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Sports·Games

Central Espanol FC vs. Defensor Sporting - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

21%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Sports·Argentina Primera DivisióN

CA Lanús vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia

$51 Vol.

$43.4K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

54%

Yes

$51 Vol.

$43.4K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Politics·Trump

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

$12.3K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$12.3K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

DPR Korea vs. Costa Rica - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$303 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

49%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$303 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Sports·Argentina Primera DivisióN

CA Central Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$306 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

49%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$306 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Sports·Games

DPR Korea vs. Costa Rica - More Markets

$0 Vol.

$895 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

52%

Over

$0 Vol.

$895 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Sports·Games

LD Alajuelense vs. Deportivo Saprissa - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

28%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Deficit.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Deficit that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US Trade Deficit in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $464K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US defaults on debt by 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Stablecoins depeg before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Stablecoins depeg before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to USD0. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Deficit predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Deficit shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Stablecoins depeg before 2027?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Deficit prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “US Trade Deficit in 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Deficit prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Deficit predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Deficit prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Deficit markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Deficit prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Deficit predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Deficit odds?

Can I track Deficit predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Deficit markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Deficit predictions & odds