Ongoing US sanctions enforcement, a naval blockade cutting Iranian oil exports near zero, and severed UAE trade links have accelerated the rial's depreciation on the free market, pushing rates past 2.25 million per USD in early September amid record highs and 40%+ inflation. Military exchanges since February and fresh measures such as secondary sanctions on evasion networks have further eroded hard-currency inflows, limiting Central Bank stabilization efforts despite occasional interventions. With these pressures persisting into late September and no near-term diplomatic offset apparent, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to levels above 2.2 million rials per dollar at month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
2.2M+ 84%
2.1-2.2M 9.0%
1.8-1.9M 2.6%
1.9-2.0M 1.8%
$22,054 Vol.
$22,054 Vol.
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
1%
1.8-1.9M
3%
1.9-2.0M
2%
2.0-2.1M
2%
2.1-2.2M
9%
2.2M+
84%
2.2M+ 84%
2.1-2.2M 9.0%
1.8-1.9M 2.6%
1.9-2.0M 1.8%
$22,054 Vol.
$22,054 Vol.
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
1%
1.8-1.9M
3%
1.9-2.0M
2%
2.0-2.1M
2%
2.1-2.2M
9%
2.2M+
84%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing US sanctions enforcement, a naval blockade cutting Iranian oil exports near zero, and severed UAE trade links have accelerated the rial's depreciation on the free market, pushing rates past 2.25 million per USD in early September amid record highs and 40%+ inflation. Military exchanges since February and fresh measures such as secondary sanctions on evasion networks have further eroded hard-currency inflows, limiting Central Bank stabilization efforts despite occasional interventions. With these pressures persisting into late September and no near-term diplomatic offset apparent, trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to levels above 2.2 million rials per dollar at month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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