United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party of power, with Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev heading its candidate list. The mixed electoral system favors established parties through proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where United Russia fields full slates and benefits from incumbency patterns seen in prior regional votes exceeding 90% support. Fragmented opposition parties face registration hurdles and limited visibility, while the vote coincides with national legislative elections on September 18–20. Historical precedent and institutional advantages underpin the pricing, though late developments such as turnout anomalies or procedural disputes could theoretically alter outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 98.4%
LDPR <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
New People <1%
$12,730 Vol.
$12,730 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
98%
LDPR
1%
Party of Pensioners
1%
New People
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
CPRF
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 98.4%
LDPR <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
New People <1%
$12,730 Vol.
$12,730 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$9,493 Vol.
98%
LDPR
$430 Vol.
1%
Party of Pensioners
$555 Vol.
1%
New People
$842 Vol.
1%
Communists of Russia
$659 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$376 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$376 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party of power, with Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev heading its candidate list. The mixed electoral system favors established parties through proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where United Russia fields full slates and benefits from incumbency patterns seen in prior regional votes exceeding 90% support. Fragmented opposition parties face registration hurdles and limited visibility, while the vote coincides with national legislative elections on September 18–20. Historical precedent and institutional advantages underpin the pricing, though late developments such as turnout anomalies or procedural disputes could theoretically alter outcomes before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volume
$12,730End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party of power, with Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev heading its candidate list. The mixed electoral system favors established parties through proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where United Russia fields full slates and benefits from incumbency patterns seen in prior regional votes exceeding 90% support. Fragmented opposition parties face registration hurdles and limited visibility, while the vote coincides with national legislative elections on September 18–20. Historical precedent and institutional advantages underpin the pricing, though late developments such as turnout anomalies or procedural disputes could theoretically alter outcomes before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$12,730End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party of power, with Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev heading its candidate list. The mixed electoral system favors established parties through proportional representation and single-mandate districts, where United Russia fields full slates and benefits from incumbency patterns seen in prior regional votes exceeding 90% support. Fragmented opposition parties face registration hurdles and limited visibility, while the vote coincides with national legislative elections on September 18–20. Historical precedent and institutional advantages underpin the pricing, though late developments such as turnout anomalies or procedural disputes could theoretically alter outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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