The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads the Outstanding Variety Series market at 73.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative following CBS cancellation, a 2025 win in the prior talk series category, and a record nine nominations that include writing, directing, and technical fields. The merged “area” award format allows independent approval voting, amplifying sentiment for a high-profile send-off after the show’s May finale. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show trail as perennial contenders with strong critical and guild support, yet lack the same farewell momentum. Final-round voting concludes August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where late shifts in voter approval could still determine whether multiple recipients or a single winner emerges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 74%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.4%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 4.2%
“Saturday Night Live” 3.1%
$110,399 Vol.
$110,399 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
74%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
8%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
4%
“Saturday Night Live”
3%
“The Daily Show”
3%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 74%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.4%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 4.2%
“Saturday Night Live” 3.1%
$110,399 Vol.
$110,399 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
$35,842 Vol.
74%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
$21,024 Vol.
8%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
$25,737 Vol.
4%
“Saturday Night Live”
$13,271 Vol.
3%
“The Daily Show”
$14,526 Vol.
3%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads the Outstanding Variety Series market at 73.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative following CBS cancellation, a 2025 win in the prior talk series category, and a record nine nominations that include writing, directing, and technical fields. The merged “area” award format allows independent approval voting, amplifying sentiment for a high-profile send-off after the show’s May finale. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show trail as perennial contenders with strong critical and guild support, yet lack the same farewell momentum. Final-round voting concludes August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where late shifts in voter approval could still determine whether multiple recipients or a single winner emerges.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Volume
$110,399End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads the Outstanding Variety Series market at 73.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative following CBS cancellation, a 2025 win in the prior talk series category, and a record nine nominations that include writing, directing, and technical fields. The merged “area” award format allows independent approval voting, amplifying sentiment for a high-profile send-off after the show’s May finale. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show trail as perennial contenders with strong critical and guild support, yet lack the same farewell momentum. Final-round voting concludes August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where late shifts in voter approval could still determine whether multiple recipients or a single winner emerges.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$110,399End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show With Stephen Colbert leads the Outstanding Variety Series market at 73.5% implied probability due to its final-season narrative following CBS cancellation, a 2025 win in the prior talk series category, and a record nine nominations that include writing, directing, and technical fields. The merged “area” award format allows independent approval voting, amplifying sentiment for a high-profile send-off after the show’s May finale. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show trail as perennial contenders with strong critical and guild support, yet lack the same farewell momentum. Final-round voting concludes August 26 ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where late shifts in voter approval could still determine whether multiple recipients or a single winner emerges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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