Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

icon for Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T 26%

$2.0–$2.25T 22.6%

$2.25–$2.5T 19%

$2.5–$2.75T 12.5%

Polymarket

$623,346 Vol.

$1.75–$2.0T 26%

$2.0–$2.25T 22.6%

$2.25–$2.5T 19%

$2.5–$2.75T 12.5%

Polymarket

$623,346 Vol.

<$1.25T

$79,796 Vol.

1%

$1.25–$1.5T

$74,763 Vol.

2%

$1.5–$1.75T

$93,299 Vol.

10%

$1.75–$2.0T

$68,722 Vol.

26%

$2.0–$2.25T

$86,771 Vol.

23%

$2.25–$2.5T

$52,505 Vol.

19%

$2.5–$2.75T

$52,372 Vol.

13%

$2.75–$3.0T

$31,637 Vol.

5%

$3.0T+

$42,542 Vol.

7%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

$40,940 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s IPO valuation odds reflect explosive revenue growth, with the company’s annualized run-rate climbing from $9B at end-2025 to $47B by May and $65B by late July 2026, alongside internal projections of $190–200B revenue by 2028. This trajectory, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and compute partnerships with Amazon and Google, supports banker discussions of a potential $2T+ listing that could exceed SpaceX’s recent debut, implying revenue multiples in the mid-teens to low-30s. Secondary markets have already marked shares above the $965B May Series H valuation, creating a tight contest among the $1.75–2.5T bins as traders weigh public-market reception, execution risks, and macro conditions ahead of the expected mid-October window and post-Labor Day S-1 release.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$623,346
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s IPO valuation odds reflect explosive revenue growth, with the company’s annualized run-rate climbing from $9B at end-2025 to $47B by May and $65B by late July 2026, alongside internal projections of $190–200B revenue by 2028. This trajectory, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and compute partnerships with Amazon and Google, supports banker discussions of a potential $2T+ listing that could exceed SpaceX’s recent debut, implying revenue multiples in the mid-teens to low-30s. Secondary markets have already marked shares above the $965B May Series H valuation, creating a tight contest among the $1.75–2.5T bins as traders weigh public-market reception, execution risks, and macro conditions ahead of the expected mid-October window and post-Labor Day S-1 release.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$623,346
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$1.75–$2.0T" at 26%, followed by "$2.0–$2.25T" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap" has generated $623.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap" is "$1.75–$2.0T" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$2.0–$2.25T" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.