Anthropic’s IPO valuation odds reflect explosive revenue growth, with the company’s annualized run-rate climbing from $9B at end-2025 to $47B by May and $65B by late July 2026, alongside internal projections of $190–200B revenue by 2028. This trajectory, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and compute partnerships with Amazon and Google, supports banker discussions of a potential $2T+ listing that could exceed SpaceX’s recent debut, implying revenue multiples in the mid-teens to low-30s. Secondary markets have already marked shares above the $965B May Series H valuation, creating a tight contest among the $1.75–2.5T bins as traders weigh public-market reception, execution risks, and macro conditions ahead of the expected mid-October window and post-Labor Day S-1 release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.75–$2.0T 26%
$2.0–$2.25T 22.6%
$2.25–$2.5T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 12.5%
$623,346 Vol.
$623,346 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
10%
$1.75–$2.0T
26%
$2.0–$2.25T
23%
$2.25–$2.5T
19%
$2.5–$2.75T
13%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
$1.75–$2.0T 26%
$2.0–$2.25T 22.6%
$2.25–$2.5T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 12.5%
$623,346 Vol.
$623,346 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
10%
$1.75–$2.0T
26%
$2.0–$2.25T
23%
$2.25–$2.5T
19%
$2.5–$2.75T
13%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s IPO valuation odds reflect explosive revenue growth, with the company’s annualized run-rate climbing from $9B at end-2025 to $47B by May and $65B by late July 2026, alongside internal projections of $190–200B revenue by 2028. This trajectory, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude models and compute partnerships with Amazon and Google, supports banker discussions of a potential $2T+ listing that could exceed SpaceX’s recent debut, implying revenue multiples in the mid-teens to low-30s. Secondary markets have already marked shares above the $965B May Series H valuation, creating a tight contest among the $1.75–2.5T bins as traders weigh public-market reception, execution risks, and macro conditions ahead of the expected mid-October window and post-Labor Day S-1 release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions