Strait Of Hormuz predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

$25M Vol.

$891K Liq.

<1%

August 31

$25M Vol.

$891K Liq.

Geopolitics·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?

$2.8K Vol.

$55.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

26%

<20

$2.8K Vol.

$55.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

$8M Vol.

$346K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

$8M Vol.

$346K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$10M Vol.

$454K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

27%

$10M Vol.

$454K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?

$42.8K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

71%

20-39

$42.8K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

$412K Vol.

$196K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

10%

$412K Vol.

$196K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

$1M Vol.

$129K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

$1M Vol.

$129K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Geopolitics·Iran

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

$785K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

32%

October 31

$785K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

$234K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

17%

$234K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

$13.7K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

48%

5-10

$13.7K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August?

$110K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

99%

0-20

$110K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

Geopolitics·Iran

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

$39.2K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

21%

$39.2K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

$390K Vol.

$181K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

76%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$390K Vol.

$181K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

$20.3K Vol.

$50.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

63%

10+

$20.3K Vol.

$50.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

$1M Vol.

$83.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

28%

October 31

$1M Vol.

$83.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?

$172K Vol.

$89.0K Liq.

30+

$172K Vol.

$89.0K Liq.

Geopolitics·Iran

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

$78.0K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$78.0K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Cape Of Good Hope

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$12M Vol.

$59.2K today

$344K Liq.

249

Ends in 4 months

16%

December 31

$12M Vol.

$59.2K today

$344K Liq.

249

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$73M Vol.

$55.9K today

$340K Liq.

516

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$73M Vol.

$55.9K today

$340K Liq.

516

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

$1M Vol.

$58.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

September 30

$1M Vol.

$58.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Strait Of Hormuz.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Strait Of Hormuz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $134.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 7% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Strait Of Hormuz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Strait Of Hormuz shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Strait Of Hormuz prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Strait Of Hormuz Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Strait Of Hormuz prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Strait Of Hormuz predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

$25M Vol.

$891K Liq.

<1%

August 31

$25M Vol.

$891K Liq.

Geopolitics·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?

$2.8K Vol.

$55.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

26%

<20

$2.8K Vol.

$55.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

$8M Vol.

$346K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

$8M Vol.

$346K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$10M Vol.

$454K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

27%

$10M Vol.

$454K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?

$42.8K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

71%

20-39

$42.8K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

$412K Vol.

$196K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

10%

$412K Vol.

$196K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

$1M Vol.

$129K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

$1M Vol.

$129K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Geopolitics·Iran

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

$785K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

32%

October 31

$785K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

$234K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

17%

$234K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

$13.7K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

48%

5-10

$13.7K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August?

$110K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

99%

0-20

$110K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

Geopolitics·Iran

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

$39.2K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

21%

$39.2K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

$390K Vol.

$181K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

76%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$390K Vol.

$181K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

$20.3K Vol.

$50.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

63%

10+

$20.3K Vol.

$50.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

$1M Vol.

$83.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

28%

October 31

$1M Vol.

$83.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?

$172K Vol.

$89.0K Liq.

30+

$172K Vol.

$89.0K Liq.

Geopolitics·Iran

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

$78.0K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$78.0K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Cape Of Good Hope

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$12M Vol.

$59.2K today

$344K Liq.

249

Ends in 4 months

16%

December 31

$12M Vol.

$59.2K today

$344K Liq.

249

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$73M Vol.

$55.9K today

$340K Liq.

516

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$73M Vol.

$55.9K today

$340K Liq.

516

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

$1M Vol.

$58.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

September 30

$1M Vol.

$58.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Strait Of Hormuz predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Strait Of Hormuz prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Strait Of Hormuz markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Strait Of Hormuz prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Strait Of Hormuz predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Strait Of Hormuz odds?

Can I track Strait Of Hormuz predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Strait Of Hormuz markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Strait Of Hormuz prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Strait Of Hormuz markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Strait Of Hormuz prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Strait Of Hormuz predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Strait Of Hormuz odds?

Can I track Strait Of Hormuz predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Strait Of Hormuz markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Strait Of Hormuz predictions & odds