Sam Bankman Fried predictions & odds

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$441K Vol.

$315K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

Steve Bannon

$441K Vol.

$315K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Ftx

SBF released from custody in 2026?

$453K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$453K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Big Tech

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

$46.6K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

71%

Goldman Sachs

$46.6K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Crypto·Bitcoin

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

$22.9K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$22.9K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Satoshi

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

$16.5K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

97%

Nothing

$16.5K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Big Tech

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

$2M Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$2M Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

$59.1K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

78%

Morgan Stanley

$59.1K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Earnings·Business

Ben Pasternak jailed?

$50.7K Vol.

$473 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$50.7K Vol.

$473 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

ITF Edwardsville: Samir Banerjee vs Jelani Sarr

$879 Vol.

$739K Liq.

100%

Samir Banerjee

$879 Vol.

$739K Liq.

Finance·MicroStrategy

Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

$73.9K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$73.9K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$712K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$712K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Court Cases

Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?

$4.1K Vol.

$831 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$4.1K Vol.

$831 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·MicroStrategy

Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 1-7?

$283 Vol.

$616 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

$283 Vol.

$616 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Finance·Michael Saylor

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

$106K Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$106K Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Tom Lee

Tom Lee charged by December 31?

$62.5K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$62.5K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Earnings·SBUX

Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?

$28.0K Vol.

$250K Liq.

100%

$28.0K Vol.

$250K Liq.

Tech·AI

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

$64.4K Vol.

$960 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

25%

October 31

$64.4K Vol.

$960 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Crypto·Bitcoin

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

$5M Vol.

$56.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$5M Vol.

$56.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·Banking Industry

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

$2.2K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

71%

$2.2K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Epstein

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

$41.4K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$41.4K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Sam Bankman Fried.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Sam Bankman Fried that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SBF released from custody in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Satoshi's identity be proven by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Sam Bankman Fried predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Sam Bankman Fried shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Satoshi's identity be proven by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Sam Bankman Fried prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Sam Bankman Fried prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Sam Bankman Fried predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Sam Bankman Fried prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Sam Bankman Fried markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Sam Bankman Fried prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Sam Bankman Fried predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Sam Bankman Fried odds?

Can I track Sam Bankman Fried predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Sam Bankman Fried markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Sam Bankman Fried predictions & odds