Antitrust litigation from 12 state attorneys general remains the dominant factor keeping the implied probability of a 2026 close at just 23.8%. A federal judge set a March 2027 trial date after states raised concerns over reduced competition in streaming and theatrical markets, prompting Paramount Skydance to agree to pause closing until the case resolves or June 2027 at latest. This timeline, combined with ongoing appeals risk and substantial ticking fees, has solidified trader consensus against a year-end resolution despite DOJ clearance and shareholder approval earlier in 2026. Key near-term catalysts include the September 24 bond hearing and any settlement talks between the parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated24% chance
$152,112 Vol.
$152,112 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
24% chance
$152,112 Vol.
$152,112 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Antitrust litigation from 12 state attorneys general remains the dominant factor keeping the implied probability of a 2026 close at just 23.8%. A federal judge set a March 2027 trial date after states raised concerns over reduced competition in streaming and theatrical markets, prompting Paramount Skydance to agree to pause closing until the case resolves or June 2027 at latest. This timeline, combined with ongoing appeals risk and substantial ticking fees, has solidified trader consensus against a year-end resolution despite DOJ clearance and shareholder approval earlier in 2026. Key near-term catalysts include the September 24 bond hearing and any settlement talks between the parties.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$152,112End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Antitrust litigation from 12 state attorneys general remains the dominant factor keeping the implied probability of a 2026 close at just 23.8%. A federal judge set a March 2027 trial date after states raised concerns over reduced competition in streaming and theatrical markets, prompting Paramount Skydance to agree to pause closing until the case resolves or June 2027 at latest. This timeline, combined with ongoing appeals risk and substantial ticking fees, has solidified trader consensus against a year-end resolution despite DOJ clearance and shareholder approval earlier in 2026. Key near-term catalysts include the September 24 bond hearing and any settlement talks between the parties.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$152,112End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Antitrust litigation from 12 state attorneys general remains the dominant factor keeping the implied probability of a 2026 close at just 23.8%. A federal judge set a March 2027 trial date after states raised concerns over reduced competition in streaming and theatrical markets, prompting Paramount Skydance to agree to pause closing until the case resolves or June 2027 at latest. This timeline, combined with ongoing appeals risk and substantial ticking fees, has solidified trader consensus against a year-end resolution despite DOJ clearance and shareholder approval earlier in 2026. Key near-term catalysts include the September 24 bond hearing and any settlement talks between the parties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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