Islam Makhachev holds the UFC welterweight title after capturing it in his 170-pound debut against Jack Della Maddalena in November 2025 and retaining it via unanimous decision over Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 in August 2026, extending his promotional win streak to a record 17. Traders view his elite grappling, improved striking power at the higher weight, and experience as a former lightweight champion as decisive edges in a short remaining 2026 schedule. Top contenders such as Carlos Prates and Michael Morales sit ready for potential late-year title shots, yet the champion’s consistent control and finishing threat in recent bouts underpin the heavy consensus that he will still reign at year’s end. An injury or rare upset loss remains the primary path to a change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIslam Makhachev 86.9%
Carlos Prates 12.0%
Michael Morales 1.1%
Ian Machado Garry <1%
$637,067 Vol.
$637,067 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
87%
Carlos Prates
12%
Michael Morales
1%
Ian Machado Garry
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Gabriel Bonfim
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Islam Makhachev 86.9%
Carlos Prates 12.0%
Michael Morales 1.1%
Ian Machado Garry <1%
$637,067 Vol.
$637,067 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
87%
Carlos Prates
12%
Michael Morales
1%
Ian Machado Garry
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Gabriel Bonfim
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds the UFC welterweight title after capturing it in his 170-pound debut against Jack Della Maddalena in November 2025 and retaining it via unanimous decision over Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 in August 2026, extending his promotional win streak to a record 17. Traders view his elite grappling, improved striking power at the higher weight, and experience as a former lightweight champion as decisive edges in a short remaining 2026 schedule. Top contenders such as Carlos Prates and Michael Morales sit ready for potential late-year title shots, yet the champion’s consistent control and finishing threat in recent bouts underpin the heavy consensus that he will still reign at year’s end. An injury or rare upset loss remains the primary path to a change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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