Tight inventory and resilient demand amid elevated mortgage rates near 6% continue to support New York City median home values in the mid-to-high $600,000s heading into late September 2026, with recent reports showing 4-6% year-over-year gains alongside low months of supply. The closely matched market-implied odds for the $663K-$689K (44.5%) and $636K-$663K (35.6%) bins reflect uncertainty over whether seasonal listing waves or modest economic softening will cap further appreciation before month-end. Key near-term catalysts include September housing data releases and any Federal Reserve communications on the policy rate path that could shift Treasury yields and buyer sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$663K - $689K 44.5%
$636K - $663K 38.0%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 3.0%
$64,698 Vol.
$64,698 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$555K
6%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
7%
$636K - $663K
35%
$663K - $689K
45%
$689K+
1%
$663K - $689K 44.5%
$636K - $663K 38.0%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$555K - $582K 3.0%
$64,698 Vol.
$64,698 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$555K
$1,096 Vol.
6%
$555K - $582K
$2,516 Vol.
3%
$582K - $609K
$1,036 Vol.
1%
$609K - $636K
$8,914 Vol.
7%
$636K - $663K
$33,879 Vol.
35%
$663K - $689K
$9,003 Vol.
45%
$689K+
$8,254 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Tight inventory and resilient demand amid elevated mortgage rates near 6% continue to support New York City median home values in the mid-to-high $600,000s heading into late September 2026, with recent reports showing 4-6% year-over-year gains alongside low months of supply. The closely matched market-implied odds for the $663K-$689K (44.5%) and $636K-$663K (35.6%) bins reflect uncertainty over whether seasonal listing waves or modest economic softening will cap further appreciation before month-end. Key near-term catalysts include September housing data releases and any Federal Reserve communications on the policy rate path that could shift Treasury yields and buyer sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$64,698End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Tight inventory and resilient demand amid elevated mortgage rates near 6% continue to support New York City median home values in the mid-to-high $600,000s heading into late September 2026, with recent reports showing 4-6% year-over-year gains alongside low months of supply. The closely matched market-implied odds for the $663K-$689K (44.5%) and $636K-$663K (35.6%) bins reflect uncertainty over whether seasonal listing waves or modest economic softening will cap further appreciation before month-end. Key near-term catalysts include September housing data releases and any Federal Reserve communications on the policy rate path that could shift Treasury yields and buyer sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volume
$64,698End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight inventory and resilient demand amid elevated mortgage rates near 6% continue to support New York City median home values in the mid-to-high $600,000s heading into late September 2026, with recent reports showing 4-6% year-over-year gains alongside low months of supply. The closely matched market-implied odds for the $663K-$689K (44.5%) and $636K-$663K (35.6%) bins reflect uncertainty over whether seasonal listing waves or modest economic softening will cap further appreciation before month-end. Key near-term catalysts include September housing data releases and any Federal Reserve communications on the policy rate path that could shift Treasury yields and buyer sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions