Tight inventory and resilient buyer demand continue to underpin gradual appreciation in Chicago metro home values, with Zillow’s ZHVI for the city near $338,000 and Cook County at $344,000 as of late July 2026, both showing roughly 4.5–5.3% year-over-year gains. Recent Illinois REALTORS data confirm June median sale prices rose 4.6% to $407,000 amid a 14% year-over-year drop in listings, while Realtor.com’s August median listing price held at $395,000. With only weeks remaining until September 30, trader consensus clustering in the $335K–$345K range reflects expectations that seasonal softening will be offset by persistent supply constraints. Key swing factors include mortgage-rate movements, any late-summer sales surge, and local labor-market releases that could alter the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$335K - $340K 38%
$340K - $345K 35%
$345K+ 12%
$330K - $335K 9.2%
$86,419 Vol.
$86,419 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$320K
1%
$320K - $325K
1%
$325K - $330K
8%
$330K - $335K
9%
$335K - $340K
38%
$340K - $345K
35%
$345K+
12%
$335K - $340K 38%
$340K - $345K 35%
$345K+ 12%
$330K - $335K 9.2%
$86,419 Vol.
$86,419 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$320K
$2,460 Vol.
1%
$320K - $325K
$2,335 Vol.
1%
$325K - $330K
$3,044 Vol.
8%
$330K - $335K
$7,749 Vol.
9%
$335K - $340K
$16,836 Vol.
38%
$340K - $345K
$22,530 Vol.
35%
$345K+
$31,465 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Tight inventory and resilient buyer demand continue to underpin gradual appreciation in Chicago metro home values, with Zillow’s ZHVI for the city near $338,000 and Cook County at $344,000 as of late July 2026, both showing roughly 4.5–5.3% year-over-year gains. Recent Illinois REALTORS data confirm June median sale prices rose 4.6% to $407,000 amid a 14% year-over-year drop in listings, while Realtor.com’s August median listing price held at $395,000. With only weeks remaining until September 30, trader consensus clustering in the $335K–$345K range reflects expectations that seasonal softening will be offset by persistent supply constraints. Key swing factors include mortgage-rate movements, any late-summer sales surge, and local labor-market releases that could alter the final reading.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$86,419End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Tight inventory and resilient buyer demand continue to underpin gradual appreciation in Chicago metro home values, with Zillow’s ZHVI for the city near $338,000 and Cook County at $344,000 as of late July 2026, both showing roughly 4.5–5.3% year-over-year gains. Recent Illinois REALTORS data confirm June median sale prices rose 4.6% to $407,000 amid a 14% year-over-year drop in listings, while Realtor.com’s August median listing price held at $395,000. With only weeks remaining until September 30, trader consensus clustering in the $335K–$345K range reflects expectations that seasonal softening will be offset by persistent supply constraints. Key swing factors include mortgage-rate movements, any late-summer sales surge, and local labor-market releases that could alter the final reading.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Volume
$86,419End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight inventory and resilient buyer demand continue to underpin gradual appreciation in Chicago metro home values, with Zillow’s ZHVI for the city near $338,000 and Cook County at $344,000 as of late July 2026, both showing roughly 4.5–5.3% year-over-year gains. Recent Illinois REALTORS data confirm June median sale prices rose 4.6% to $407,000 amid a 14% year-over-year drop in listings, while Realtor.com’s August median listing price held at $395,000. With only weeks remaining until September 30, trader consensus clustering in the $335K–$345K range reflects expectations that seasonal softening will be offset by persistent supply constraints. Key swing factors include mortgage-rate movements, any late-summer sales surge, and local labor-market releases that could alter the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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