Recent housing data show Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro typical home values hovering near $326,000 in mid-2026, with Zillow estimates up modestly year-over-year amid constrained inventory and steady but not robust sales. Median listing prices from Realtor.com reached $395,000 in August, while actual sale medians ranged $369,000–$407,000 across sources, reflecting selection bias toward higher-value transactions. Tight supply, elevated mortgage rates, and local labor-market stability have supported gradual appreciation without sharp acceleration, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around the $335,000–$345,000 range. Seasonal softening into September and any final revisions to August or early September indices represent the key near-term swing factors for the September 30 reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$340K - $345K 35%
$335K - $340K 35%
$330K - $335K 13.0%
$345K+ 9%
$86,346 Vol.
$86,346 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$320K
1%
$320K - $325K
1%
$325K - $330K
5%
$330K - $335K
13%
$335K - $340K
35%
$340K - $345K
35%
$345K+
9%
$340K - $345K 35%
$335K - $340K 35%
$330K - $335K 13.0%
$345K+ 9%
$86,346 Vol.
$86,346 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$320K
$2,460 Vol.
1%
$320K - $325K
$2,335 Vol.
1%
$325K - $330K
$3,044 Vol.
5%
$330K - $335K
$7,749 Vol.
13%
$335K - $340K
$16,786 Vol.
35%
$340K - $345K
$22,507 Vol.
35%
$345K+
$31,465 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Recent housing data show Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro typical home values hovering near $326,000 in mid-2026, with Zillow estimates up modestly year-over-year amid constrained inventory and steady but not robust sales. Median listing prices from Realtor.com reached $395,000 in August, while actual sale medians ranged $369,000–$407,000 across sources, reflecting selection bias toward higher-value transactions. Tight supply, elevated mortgage rates, and local labor-market stability have supported gradual appreciation without sharp acceleration, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around the $335,000–$345,000 range. Seasonal softening into September and any final revisions to August or early September indices represent the key near-term swing factors for the September 30 reading.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$86,346End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Recent housing data show Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro typical home values hovering near $326,000 in mid-2026, with Zillow estimates up modestly year-over-year amid constrained inventory and steady but not robust sales. Median listing prices from Realtor.com reached $395,000 in August, while actual sale medians ranged $369,000–$407,000 across sources, reflecting selection bias toward higher-value transactions. Tight supply, elevated mortgage rates, and local labor-market stability have supported gradual appreciation without sharp acceleration, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around the $335,000–$345,000 range. Seasonal softening into September and any final revisions to August or early September indices represent the key near-term swing factors for the September 30 reading.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Volume
$86,346End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing data show Chicago-Naperville-Elgin metro typical home values hovering near $326,000 in mid-2026, with Zillow estimates up modestly year-over-year amid constrained inventory and steady but not robust sales. Median listing prices from Realtor.com reached $395,000 in August, while actual sale medians ranged $369,000–$407,000 across sources, reflecting selection bias toward higher-value transactions. Tight supply, elevated mortgage rates, and local labor-market stability have supported gradual appreciation without sharp acceleration, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around the $335,000–$345,000 range. Seasonal softening into September and any final revisions to August or early September indices represent the key near-term swing factors for the September 30 reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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