Tight housing supply, driven by mortgage rate lock-in effects and limited new listings, continues to underpin modest price gains in the Chicago metro area despite elevated borrowing costs near 6.5%. Latest Zillow Home Value Index readings place typical values around $338,000 as of late July, with year-over-year appreciation of roughly 4.5% amid metro median sale prices holding above $390,000. Seasonal cooling into September, combined with still-constrained inventory below three months of supply, supports trader consensus clustering in the $335,000–$345,000 range, while any acceleration in new listings or further rate stability could shift outcomes toward the lower end of that band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$340K - $345K 34%
$335K - $340K 29%
$330K - $335K 14.0%
$345K+ 11%
$86,346 Vol.
$86,346 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$320K
1%
$320K - $325K
1%
$325K - $330K
5%
$330K - $335K
14%
$335K - $340K
29%
$340K - $345K
34%
$345K+
11%
$340K - $345K 34%
$335K - $340K 29%
$330K - $335K 14.0%
$345K+ 11%
$86,346 Vol.
$86,346 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$320K
$2,460 Vol.
1%
$320K - $325K
$2,335 Vol.
1%
$325K - $330K
$3,044 Vol.
5%
$330K - $335K
$7,749 Vol.
14%
$335K - $340K
$16,786 Vol.
29%
$340K - $345K
$22,507 Vol.
34%
$345K+
$31,465 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Tight housing supply, driven by mortgage rate lock-in effects and limited new listings, continues to underpin modest price gains in the Chicago metro area despite elevated borrowing costs near 6.5%. Latest Zillow Home Value Index readings place typical values around $338,000 as of late July, with year-over-year appreciation of roughly 4.5% amid metro median sale prices holding above $390,000. Seasonal cooling into September, combined with still-constrained inventory below three months of supply, supports trader consensus clustering in the $335,000–$345,000 range, while any acceleration in new listings or further rate stability could shift outcomes toward the lower end of that band.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$86,346End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Tight housing supply, driven by mortgage rate lock-in effects and limited new listings, continues to underpin modest price gains in the Chicago metro area despite elevated borrowing costs near 6.5%. Latest Zillow Home Value Index readings place typical values around $338,000 as of late July, with year-over-year appreciation of roughly 4.5% amid metro median sale prices holding above $390,000. Seasonal cooling into September, combined with still-constrained inventory below three months of supply, supports trader consensus clustering in the $335,000–$345,000 range, while any acceleration in new listings or further rate stability could shift outcomes toward the lower end of that band.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Volume
$86,346End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight housing supply, driven by mortgage rate lock-in effects and limited new listings, continues to underpin modest price gains in the Chicago metro area despite elevated borrowing costs near 6.5%. Latest Zillow Home Value Index readings place typical values around $338,000 as of late July, with year-over-year appreciation of roughly 4.5% amid metro median sale prices holding above $390,000. Seasonal cooling into September, combined with still-constrained inventory below three months of supply, supports trader consensus clustering in the $335,000–$345,000 range, while any acceleration in new listings or further rate stability could shift outcomes toward the lower end of that band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions