SpaceX shares (SPCX), which listed in June 2026 at $135 for a $1.77 trillion valuation after the largest U.S. IPO on record, trade near $140 as of early September with a market capitalization of roughly $1.84 trillion. Trader focus centers on Q2 results showing 92% revenue growth to $7.81 billion alongside a narrowed $541 million net loss, offset by $28.5 billion in first-half capital expenditures heavily directed toward AI infrastructure following the xAI integration and Cursor acquisition. Elevated price-to-sales multiples near 59x annualized revenue reflect optimism over Starlink scaling and orbital AI opportunities, tempered by ongoing losses, multiple lockup expirations, and competition in launch and broadband markets. The September earnings release and any Starship flight-test updates represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around price thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 30, 2026
↑ $175
24%
↑ $170
35%
↑ $165
46%
↑ $160
66%
↑ $155
74%
↑ $150
81%
↓ $145
76%
↓ $140
64%
↓ $135
41%
↓ $130
31%
↓ $125
22%
↓ $120
13%
↓ $115
9%
↓ $110
6%
↓ $105
5%
$1,228 Vol.
↑ $175
$0 Vol.
24%
↑ $170
$174 Vol.
35%
↑ $165
$0 Vol.
46%
↑ $160
$0 Vol.
66%
↑ $155
$0 Vol.
74%
↑ $150
$0 Vol.
81%
↓ $145
$0 Vol.
76%
↓ $140
$0 Vol.
64%
↓ $135
$50 Vol.
41%
↓ $130
$0 Vol.
31%
↓ $125
$0 Vol.
22%
↓ $120
$0 Vol.
13%
↓ $115
$0 Vol.
9%
↓ $110
$78 Vol.
6%
↓ $105
$722 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.SpaceX shares (SPCX), which listed in June 2026 at $135 for a $1.77 trillion valuation after the largest U.S. IPO on record, trade near $140 as of early September with a market capitalization of roughly $1.84 trillion. Trader focus centers on Q2 results showing 92% revenue growth to $7.81 billion alongside a narrowed $541 million net loss, offset by $28.5 billion in first-half capital expenditures heavily directed toward AI infrastructure following the xAI integration and Cursor acquisition. Elevated price-to-sales multiples near 59x annualized revenue reflect optimism over Starlink scaling and orbital AI opportunities, tempered by ongoing losses, multiple lockup expirations, and competition in launch and broadband markets. The September earnings release and any Starship flight-test updates represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around price thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$1,228End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.SpaceX shares (SPCX), which listed in June 2026 at $135 for a $1.77 trillion valuation after the largest U.S. IPO on record, trade near $140 as of early September with a market capitalization of roughly $1.84 trillion. Trader focus centers on Q2 results showing 92% revenue growth to $7.81 billion alongside a narrowed $541 million net loss, offset by $28.5 billion in first-half capital expenditures heavily directed toward AI infrastructure following the xAI integration and Cursor acquisition. Elevated price-to-sales multiples near 59x annualized revenue reflect optimism over Starlink scaling and orbital AI opportunities, tempered by ongoing losses, multiple lockup expirations, and competition in launch and broadband markets. The September earnings release and any Starship flight-test updates represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around price thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$1,228End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX shares (SPCX), which listed in June 2026 at $135 for a $1.77 trillion valuation after the largest U.S. IPO on record, trade near $140 as of early September with a market capitalization of roughly $1.84 trillion. Trader focus centers on Q2 results showing 92% revenue growth to $7.81 billion alongside a narrowed $541 million net loss, offset by $28.5 billion in first-half capital expenditures heavily directed toward AI infrastructure following the xAI integration and Cursor acquisition. Elevated price-to-sales multiples near 59x annualized revenue reflect optimism over Starlink scaling and orbital AI opportunities, tempered by ongoing losses, multiple lockup expirations, and competition in launch and broadband markets. The September earnings release and any Starship flight-test updates represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around price thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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