MicroStrategy (MSTR) trades as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy, with shares recently closing near $143 after a 16% single-day surge tied to Bitcoin reclaiming levels above $80,000 and Federal Reserve comments signaling steady policy rates. The company holds roughly 845,000 BTC acquired at an average cost near $75,500, producing an mNAV multiple around 1.07x amid ongoing ATM equity sales, preferred stock repurchases, and resumed Bitcoin accumulation funded by a multi-billion-dollar USD reserve. Trader positioning reflects Bitcoin’s price trajectory and MSTR’s elevated beta, which amplifies moves relative to spot crypto while capital-structure actions and analyst price targets near $230 provide additional context for September volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 30, 2026
↑ $200
50%
↑ $190
50%
↑ $180
50%
↑ $170
50%
↑ $160
50%
↑ $150
50%
↓ $140
50%
↓ $130
99%
↓ $120
50%
↓ $110
50%
↓ $100
50%
↓ $90
50%
↓ $80
50%
↓ $70
50%
↓ $60
50%
$340 Vol.
↑ $200
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $190
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $180
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $170
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $160
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $150
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $140
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $130
$0 Vol.
99%
↓ $120
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $110
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $100
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $90
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $80
$8 Vol.
50%
↓ $70
$8 Vol.
50%
↓ $60
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for MicroStrategy (MSTR) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.MicroStrategy (MSTR) trades as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy, with shares recently closing near $143 after a 16% single-day surge tied to Bitcoin reclaiming levels above $80,000 and Federal Reserve comments signaling steady policy rates. The company holds roughly 845,000 BTC acquired at an average cost near $75,500, producing an mNAV multiple around 1.07x amid ongoing ATM equity sales, preferred stock repurchases, and resumed Bitcoin accumulation funded by a multi-billion-dollar USD reserve. Trader positioning reflects Bitcoin’s price trajectory and MSTR’s elevated beta, which amplifies moves relative to spot crypto while capital-structure actions and analyst price targets near $230 provide additional context for September volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for MicroStrategy (MSTR) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
Volume
$340End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for MicroStrategy (MSTR) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.MicroStrategy (MSTR) trades as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy, with shares recently closing near $143 after a 16% single-day surge tied to Bitcoin reclaiming levels above $80,000 and Federal Reserve comments signaling steady policy rates. The company holds roughly 845,000 BTC acquired at an average cost near $75,500, producing an mNAV multiple around 1.07x amid ongoing ATM equity sales, preferred stock repurchases, and resumed Bitcoin accumulation funded by a multi-billion-dollar USD reserve. Trader positioning reflects Bitcoin’s price trajectory and MSTR’s elevated beta, which amplifies moves relative to spot crypto while capital-structure actions and analyst price targets near $230 provide additional context for September volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for MicroStrategy (MSTR) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$340End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...MicroStrategy (MSTR) trades as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy, with shares recently closing near $143 after a 16% single-day surge tied to Bitcoin reclaiming levels above $80,000 and Federal Reserve comments signaling steady policy rates. The company holds roughly 845,000 BTC acquired at an average cost near $75,500, producing an mNAV multiple around 1.07x amid ongoing ATM equity sales, preferred stock repurchases, and resumed Bitcoin accumulation funded by a multi-billion-dollar USD reserve. Trader positioning reflects Bitcoin’s price trajectory and MSTR’s elevated beta, which amplifies moves relative to spot crypto while capital-structure actions and analyst price targets near $230 provide additional context for September volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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