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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)

$22,048 Vol.

Sep 10, 2026
Polymarket

$22,048 Vol.

Polymarket

Aryna Sabalenka

$173 Vol.

55%

Coco Gauff

$864 Vol.

52%

Anna Kalinskaya

$0 Vol.

26%

Naomi Osaka

$0 Vol.

22%

Mirra Andreeva

$0 Vol.

21%

Iva Jovic

$0 Vol.

21%

Marta Kostyuk

$50 Vol.

18%

Elena Rybakina

$554 Vol.

17%

Linda Noskova

$7 Vol.

16%

Sorana Cirstea

$22 Vol.

14%

Emma Navarro

$2,599 Vol.

10%

Anastasia Potapova

$366 Vol.

3%

Iga Swiatek

$5,142 Vol.

50%

Jessica Pegula

$38 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the round of 16 as the clear market leader for a US Open semifinal berth, riding two prior titles and dominant hard-court results, though traders weigh her path against resurgent challengers. Coco Gauff carries strong momentum after her Cincinnati title and benefits from home support, while Iga Swiatek has regained form following her Toronto win. Elena Rybakina’s ankle concerns from Cincinnati temper her outlook despite a potential No. 1 ranking at stake if she advances, and Naomi Osaka’s consistent 2026 Slam runs have boosted her implied probability. Recent third-round results, including Osaka’s three-set victory and several American upsets, underscore the draw’s volatility, with quarterfinal matchups and rest factors likely to drive further shifts in trader consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,048
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the round of 16 as the clear market leader for a US Open semifinal berth, riding two prior titles and dominant hard-court results, though traders weigh her path against resurgent challengers. Coco Gauff carries strong momentum after her Cincinnati title and benefits from home support, while Iga Swiatek has regained form following her Toronto win. Elena Rybakina’s ankle concerns from Cincinnati temper her outlook despite a potential No. 1 ranking at stake if she advances, and Naomi Osaka’s consistent 2026 Slam runs have boosted her implied probability. Recent third-round results, including Osaka’s three-set victory and several American upsets, underscore the draw’s volatility, with quarterfinal matchups and rest factors likely to drive further shifts in trader consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,048
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 55%, followed by "Coco Gauff" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" has generated $22K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Coco Gauff" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.