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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)

$32,718 Vol.

Sep 10, 2026
Polymarket

$32,718 Vol.

Polymarket

Flavio Cobolli

$8 Vol.

90%

Carlos Alcaraz

$3,266 Vol.

68%

Alexander Zverev

$1,980 Vol.

59%

Jakub Mensik

$0 Vol.

43%

Ben Shelton

$625 Vol.

28%

Daniil Medvedev

$1,351 Vol.

33%

Tommy Paul

$0 Vol.

26%

Frances Tiafoe

$1,882 Vol.

26%

Dane Sweeny

$308 Vol.

25%

Zizou Bergs

$0 Vol.

24%

Alejandro Tabilo

$43 Vol.

19%

Learner Tien

$182 Vol.

20%

Luciano Darderi

$541 Vol.

6%

Alexander Blockx

$326 Vol.

27%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$646 Vol.

27%

Michael Zheng

$709 Vol.

3%

Francisco Cerundolo

$283 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US Open 2026 men's singles has reached the round of 32, with defending champion Carlos Alcaraz advancing in straight sets and appearing in strong form on hard courts. Ben Shelton, Daniil Medvedev, Frances Tiafoe, and Tommy Paul also progressed to the fourth round, while notable early exits for Taylor Fritz and Flavio Cobolli have opened sections of the draw. Remaining contenders face a compressed schedule with potential rest advantages or short turnarounds, alongside typical hard-court factors like serve effectiveness and baseline consistency. Quarterfinal and semifinal matchups will hinge on form in the next few days, bracket position, and any late injury or fatigue concerns among the top seeds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,718
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US Open 2026 men's singles has reached the round of 32, with defending champion Carlos Alcaraz advancing in straight sets and appearing in strong form on hard courts. Ben Shelton, Daniil Medvedev, Frances Tiafoe, and Tommy Paul also progressed to the fourth round, while notable early exits for Taylor Fritz and Flavio Cobolli have opened sections of the draw. Remaining contenders face a compressed schedule with potential rest advantages or short turnarounds, alongside typical hard-court factors like serve effectiveness and baseline consistency. Quarterfinal and semifinal matchups will hinge on form in the next few days, bracket position, and any late injury or fatigue concerns among the top seeds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,718
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 68%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 59%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" has generated $32.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 59%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.