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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)

$23,595 Vol.

Sep 11, 2026
Polymarket

$23,595 Vol.

Polymarket

Aryna Sabalenka

$874 Vol.

48%

Coco Gauff

$1,153 Vol.

36%

Anna Kalinskaya

$8 Vol.

26%

Iga Swiatek

$342 Vol.

31%

Jessica Pegula

$816 Vol.

22%

Elena Rybakina

$563 Vol.

15%

Naomi Osaka

$271 Vol.

14%

Marta Kostyuk

$124 Vol.

10%

Mirra Andreeva

$798 Vol.

11%

Iva Jovic

$20 Vol.

9%

Alexandra Eala

$4,365 Vol.

8%

Linda Noskova

$176 Vol.

7%

Emma Navarro

$8 Vol.

4%

Anastasia Potapova

$1,273 Vol.

3%

Sorana Cirstea

$63 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$321 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the 2026 US Open as the top seed and defending champion with the strongest implied probability to reach the final, backed by her dominant hard-court record and 40-8 seasonal mark. The draw splits the field with Sabalenka, Jessica Pegula, and Linda Noskova in the top half, while Coco Gauff, Iga Swiatek, Elena Rybakina, and Mirra Andreeva occupy the bottom half, creating potential semifinal clashes that shape final probabilities. As of September 5, third-round results showed Gauff advancing in straight sets, Swiatek prevailing in tiebreaks, Andreeva progressing, and upsets eliminating Amanda Anisimova and Madison Keys, tightening paths for remaining contenders. Official injury reports remain stable for the top seeds, with no major late withdrawals affecting the draw, though Zheng Qinwen’s comeback victory highlights the potential for form swings on outdoor hard courts. Trader consensus reflects these recent results and historical semifinal patterns in similar draws.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,595
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the 2026 US Open as the top seed and defending champion with the strongest implied probability to reach the final, backed by her dominant hard-court record and 40-8 seasonal mark. The draw splits the field with Sabalenka, Jessica Pegula, and Linda Noskova in the top half, while Coco Gauff, Iga Swiatek, Elena Rybakina, and Mirra Andreeva occupy the bottom half, creating potential semifinal clashes that shape final probabilities. As of September 5, third-round results showed Gauff advancing in straight sets, Swiatek prevailing in tiebreaks, Andreeva progressing, and upsets eliminating Amanda Anisimova and Madison Keys, tightening paths for remaining contenders. Official injury reports remain stable for the top seeds, with no major late withdrawals affecting the draw, though Zheng Qinwen’s comeback victory highlights the potential for form swings on outdoor hard courts. Trader consensus reflects these recent results and historical semifinal patterns in similar draws.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,595
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 48%, followed by "Coco Gauff" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" has generated $23.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Coco Gauff" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.