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icon for Trnava Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Mayoral

Trnava Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Trnava Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Mayoral

Trnava Mayoral Election Winner

Eva Nemčovská 40%

Branislav Baroš 33%

Ľubica Horváthová 13%

Andrea Čajková 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Eva Nemčovská 40%

Branislav Baroš 33%

Ľubica Horváthová 13%

Andrea Čajková 7%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Eva Nemčovská

Eva Nemčovská

$183 Vol.

44%

icon for Branislav Baroš

Branislav Baroš

$1,010 Vol.

33%

icon for Ľubica Horváthová

Ľubica Horváthová

$77 Vol.

18%

icon for Andrea Čajková

Andrea Čajková

$1,294 Vol.

7%

The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).The Trnava mayoral race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 24, 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field after incumbent Peter Bročka confirmed he would not seek another term. Eva Nemčovská holds a modest lead in implied probability due to her profile as vice-mayor and continuity candidate for the Lepšia Trnava initiative, emphasizing ongoing development, transport solutions, and housing. Branislav Baroš follows as the main challenger, drawing on his 2022 performance and criticism of local fees and governance. Ľubica Horváthová and Andrea Čajková trail further, backed by Demokrati and Trnava Plus respectively, while additional candidates including a coalition-backed entrant add to vote-splitting risks. Limited recent polling and coalition negotiations keep probabilities fluid, with any major endorsements or campaign momentum likely to widen gaps before election day.

The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Volume
$2,564
End Date
Oct 24, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 2:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://volby.statistics.sk/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).The Trnava mayoral race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 24, 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field after incumbent Peter Bročka confirmed he would not seek another term. Eva Nemčovská holds a modest lead in implied probability due to her profile as vice-mayor and continuity candidate for the Lepšia Trnava initiative, emphasizing ongoing development, transport solutions, and housing. Branislav Baroš follows as the main challenger, drawing on his 2022 performance and criticism of local fees and governance. Ľubica Horváthová and Andrea Čajková trail further, backed by Demokrati and Trnava Plus respectively, while additional candidates including a coalition-backed entrant add to vote-splitting risks. Limited recent polling and coalition negotiations keep probabilities fluid, with any major endorsements or campaign momentum likely to widen gaps before election day.

The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Volume
$2,564
End Date
Oct 24, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 2:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://volby.statistics.sk/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trnava Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eva Nemčovská" at 45%, followed by "Branislav Baroš" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trnava Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trnava Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trnava Mayoral Election Winner" is "Eva Nemčovská" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Branislav Baroš" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trnava Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.