**Pete Hegseth remains Secretary of Defense (also titled Secretary of War) with no formal steps announced for his removal by September 30.** President Trump has publicly reaffirmed support amid ongoing Pentagon personnel changes, including the recent resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll after clashes over officer firings and blocked promotions. Republican criticism, such as Senator Thom Tillis’s call for replacement, has surfaced but has not translated into coordinated congressional or administration action. The extremely short remaining timeline limits opportunities for Senate confirmation of a successor or other procedural moves. Trader consensus at 95.7% “No” aligns with the absence of verifiable signals of imminent departure. Realistic shifts could still arise from a major new scandal, abrupt presidential decision, or rapid escalation in internal or legislative pressure before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
4% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pete Hegseth remains Secretary of Defense (also titled Secretary of War) with no formal steps announced for his removal by September 30.** President Trump has publicly reaffirmed support amid ongoing Pentagon personnel changes, including the recent resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll after clashes over officer firings and blocked promotions. Republican criticism, such as Senator Thom Tillis’s call for replacement, has surfaced but has not translated into coordinated congressional or administration action. The extremely short remaining timeline limits opportunities for Senate confirmation of a successor or other procedural moves. Trader consensus at 95.7% “No” aligns with the absence of verifiable signals of imminent departure. Realistic shifts could still arise from a major new scandal, abrupt presidential decision, or rapid escalation in internal or legislative pressure before month-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 9:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,076End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 9:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pete Hegseth remains Secretary of Defense (also titled Secretary of War) with no formal steps announced for his removal by September 30.** President Trump has publicly reaffirmed support amid ongoing Pentagon personnel changes, including the recent resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll after clashes over officer firings and blocked promotions. Republican criticism, such as Senator Thom Tillis’s call for replacement, has surfaced but has not translated into coordinated congressional or administration action. The extremely short remaining timeline limits opportunities for Senate confirmation of a successor or other procedural moves. Trader consensus at 95.7% “No” aligns with the absence of verifiable signals of imminent departure. Realistic shifts could still arise from a major new scandal, abrupt presidential decision, or rapid escalation in internal or legislative pressure before month-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,076End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 9:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Pete Hegseth remains Secretary of Defense (also titled Secretary of War) with no formal steps announced for his removal by September 30.** President Trump has publicly reaffirmed support amid ongoing Pentagon personnel changes, including the recent resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll after clashes over officer firings and blocked promotions. Republican criticism, such as Senator Thom Tillis’s call for replacement, has surfaced but has not translated into coordinated congressional or administration action. The extremely short remaining timeline limits opportunities for Senate confirmation of a successor or other procedural moves. Trader consensus at 95.7% “No” aligns with the absence of verifiable signals of imminent departure. Realistic shifts could still arise from a major new scandal, abrupt presidential decision, or rapid escalation in internal or legislative pressure before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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