Microsoft's share price, recently trading near $500 amid volatility, reflects sustained AI-driven momentum following fiscal 2026 results that showed 18% revenue growth to $331.8 billion, with Azure advancing 43% in the fourth quarter and Microsoft 365 Copilot exceeding 30 million paid seats. Elevated capital expenditures, previously guiding toward $175-190 billion annually, continue to pressure margins but are offset by expanding commercial remaining performance obligations above $678 billion and accelerating cloud adoption. The company's recent reorganization into Agents and Infra and Devices and Consumer segments streamlines AI infrastructure reporting without altering near-term guidance of $89.85-90.95 billion for fiscal first-quarter revenue. With limited immediate catalysts before month-end, trader sentiment hinges on broader tech sector flows, Treasury yields, and any shifts in risk appetite that could influence the stock's ability to hold or extend gains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 30, 2026
$420
90%
$435
89%
$450
80%
$465
75%
$480
66%
$495
51%
$510
43%
$525
26%
$540
14%
$555
8%
$570
5%
$585
5%
$600
5%
$0.00 Vol.
$420
$0 Vol.
90%
$435
$0 Vol.
89%
$450
$0 Vol.
80%
$465
$0 Vol.
75%
$480
$0 Vol.
66%
$495
$0 Vol.
51%
$510
$0 Vol.
43%
$525
$0 Vol.
26%
$540
$0 Vol.
14%
$555
$0 Vol.
8%
$570
$0 Vol.
5%
$585
$0 Vol.
5%
$600
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of September 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft's share price, recently trading near $500 amid volatility, reflects sustained AI-driven momentum following fiscal 2026 results that showed 18% revenue growth to $331.8 billion, with Azure advancing 43% in the fourth quarter and Microsoft 365 Copilot exceeding 30 million paid seats. Elevated capital expenditures, previously guiding toward $175-190 billion annually, continue to pressure margins but are offset by expanding commercial remaining performance obligations above $678 billion and accelerating cloud adoption. The company's recent reorganization into Agents and Infra and Devices and Consumer segments streamlines AI infrastructure reporting without altering near-term guidance of $89.85-90.95 billion for fiscal first-quarter revenue. With limited immediate catalysts before month-end, trader sentiment hinges on broader tech sector flows, Treasury yields, and any shifts in risk appetite that could influence the stock's ability to hold or extend gains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of September 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of September 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft's share price, recently trading near $500 amid volatility, reflects sustained AI-driven momentum following fiscal 2026 results that showed 18% revenue growth to $331.8 billion, with Azure advancing 43% in the fourth quarter and Microsoft 365 Copilot exceeding 30 million paid seats. Elevated capital expenditures, previously guiding toward $175-190 billion annually, continue to pressure margins but are offset by expanding commercial remaining performance obligations above $678 billion and accelerating cloud adoption. The company's recent reorganization into Agents and Infra and Devices and Consumer segments streamlines AI infrastructure reporting without altering near-term guidance of $89.85-90.95 billion for fiscal first-quarter revenue. With limited immediate catalysts before month-end, trader sentiment hinges on broader tech sector flows, Treasury yields, and any shifts in risk appetite that could influence the stock's ability to hold or extend gains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of September 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft's share price, recently trading near $500 amid volatility, reflects sustained AI-driven momentum following fiscal 2026 results that showed 18% revenue growth to $331.8 billion, with Azure advancing 43% in the fourth quarter and Microsoft 365 Copilot exceeding 30 million paid seats. Elevated capital expenditures, previously guiding toward $175-190 billion annually, continue to pressure margins but are offset by expanding commercial remaining performance obligations above $678 billion and accelerating cloud adoption. The company's recent reorganization into Agents and Infra and Devices and Consumer segments streamlines AI infrastructure reporting without altering near-term guidance of $89.85-90.95 billion for fiscal first-quarter revenue. With limited immediate catalysts before month-end, trader sentiment hinges on broader tech sector flows, Treasury yields, and any shifts in risk appetite that could influence the stock's ability to hold or extend gains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions