Nvidia’s recent blowout second-quarter results, including $96.2 billion in revenue and a 70% growth forecast for fiscal 2028, alongside the Hugging Face acquisition and RTX Spark rollout, underpin trader optimism reflected in the 23% implied probability for a $6.5T+ close. Persistent AI infrastructure demand and Blackwell ramp support the clustered mid-to-high ranges, yet mounting competition from AMD’s MI300/MI400 series, hyperscaler custom ASICs, and China market share losses due to export controls create uncertainty. Upcoming catalysts include third-quarter earnings and potential capital returns, with the closely matched odds highlighting debates over sustained dominance versus gradual share erosion in the data-center accelerator market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$6.50T+ 23%
$5.50-$6.00T 22%
$5.00-$5.50T 16%
$4.50-$5.00T 15%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
9%
$4.00-$4.50T
10%
$4.50-$5.00T
15%
$5.00-$5.50T
16%
$5.50-$6.00T
22%
$6.00-$6.50T
14%
$6.50T+
23%
$6.50T+ 23%
$5.50-$6.00T 22%
$5.00-$5.50T 16%
$4.50-$5.00T 15%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
$2,178 Vol.
9%
$4.00-$4.50T
$617 Vol.
10%
$4.50-$5.00T
$487 Vol.
15%
$5.00-$5.50T
$563 Vol.
16%
$5.50-$6.00T
$2,713 Vol.
22%
$6.00-$6.50T
$710 Vol.
14%
$6.50T+
$560 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s recent blowout second-quarter results, including $96.2 billion in revenue and a 70% growth forecast for fiscal 2028, alongside the Hugging Face acquisition and RTX Spark rollout, underpin trader optimism reflected in the 23% implied probability for a $6.5T+ close. Persistent AI infrastructure demand and Blackwell ramp support the clustered mid-to-high ranges, yet mounting competition from AMD’s MI300/MI400 series, hyperscaler custom ASICs, and China market share losses due to export controls create uncertainty. Upcoming catalysts include third-quarter earnings and potential capital returns, with the closely matched odds highlighting debates over sustained dominance versus gradual share erosion in the data-center accelerator market.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volume
$7,829End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s recent blowout second-quarter results, including $96.2 billion in revenue and a 70% growth forecast for fiscal 2028, alongside the Hugging Face acquisition and RTX Spark rollout, underpin trader optimism reflected in the 23% implied probability for a $6.5T+ close. Persistent AI infrastructure demand and Blackwell ramp support the clustered mid-to-high ranges, yet mounting competition from AMD’s MI300/MI400 series, hyperscaler custom ASICs, and China market share losses due to export controls create uncertainty. Upcoming catalysts include third-quarter earnings and potential capital returns, with the closely matched odds highlighting debates over sustained dominance versus gradual share erosion in the data-center accelerator market.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$7,829End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia’s recent blowout second-quarter results, including $96.2 billion in revenue and a 70% growth forecast for fiscal 2028, alongside the Hugging Face acquisition and RTX Spark rollout, underpin trader optimism reflected in the 23% implied probability for a $6.5T+ close. Persistent AI infrastructure demand and Blackwell ramp support the clustered mid-to-high ranges, yet mounting competition from AMD’s MI300/MI400 series, hyperscaler custom ASICs, and China market share losses due to export controls create uncertainty. Upcoming catalysts include third-quarter earnings and potential capital returns, with the closely matched odds highlighting debates over sustained dominance versus gradual share erosion in the data-center accelerator market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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