SpaceX (SPCX) closed September 4 at $147.95 amid post-IPO volatility, with the primary near-term driver being the September 9 lock-up expiration that will release hundreds of millions of additional shares for trading. The stock has traded in a wide range since its June debut at $135, peaking above $225 before settling near current levels at roughly 100 times trailing sales despite 92% year-over-year revenue growth to $7.8 billion in Q2. Heavy AI-related capital expenditures, ongoing net losses, and staggered insider releases continue to weigh on sentiment, while analyst targets cluster near $220 on expectations for Starlink and compute revenue scaling. Traders are monitoring volume and any pre-expiration positioning for the week ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$120
90%
$125
90%
$130
89%
$135
89%
$140
90%
$145
76%
$150
54%
$155
31%
$160
14%
$165
7%
$170
5%
$175
9%
$180
9%
$0.00 Vol.
$120
90%
$125
90%
$130
89%
$135
89%
$140
90%
$145
76%
$150
54%
$155
31%
$160
14%
$165
7%
$170
5%
$175
9%
$180
9%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX (SPCX) closed September 4 at $147.95 amid post-IPO volatility, with the primary near-term driver being the September 9 lock-up expiration that will release hundreds of millions of additional shares for trading. The stock has traded in a wide range since its June debut at $135, peaking above $225 before settling near current levels at roughly 100 times trailing sales despite 92% year-over-year revenue growth to $7.8 billion in Q2. Heavy AI-related capital expenditures, ongoing net losses, and staggered insider releases continue to weigh on sentiment, while analyst targets cluster near $220 on expectations for Starlink and compute revenue scaling. Traders are monitoring volume and any pre-expiration positioning for the week ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions