Early in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 campaign, Auxerre sit bottom after three straight defeats and a heavy goal difference, while Nice, Toulouse, and promoted sides Le Mans and Troyes occupy the lower reaches amid mixed opening results. Relegation is determined by the final two positions plus a potential play-off for 16th, making early points accumulation critical for survival. Newly promoted clubs face adaptation challenges against established mid-table sides, with squad depth, managerial stability, and fixture congestion ahead of the winter period shaping momentum. Historical patterns show promoted teams often struggle initially, though defensive organization and key summer signings can shift trajectories before the March-May run-in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLe Mans
61%
Auxerre
57%
Nice
50%
Toulouse
50%
Strasbourg
50%
Troyes
50%
Angers
50%
Brest
50%
Le Havre
50%
Lorient
50%
Paris FC
10%
Rennes
10%
Paris Saint-Germain
5%
Lens
5%
Lille
5%
Lyon
5%
Marseille
5%
Monaco
5%
$0.00 Vol.
Le Mans
61%
Auxerre
57%
Nice
50%
Toulouse
50%
Strasbourg
50%
Troyes
50%
Angers
50%
Brest
50%
Le Havre
50%
Lorient
50%
Paris FC
10%
Rennes
10%
Paris Saint-Germain
5%
Lens
5%
Lille
5%
Lyon
5%
Marseille
5%
Monaco
5%
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Ligue 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Ligue 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Ligue 1.
If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Ligue 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Ligue 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Ligue 1.
If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Early in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 campaign, Auxerre sit bottom after three straight defeats and a heavy goal difference, while Nice, Toulouse, and promoted sides Le Mans and Troyes occupy the lower reaches amid mixed opening results. Relegation is determined by the final two positions plus a potential play-off for 16th, making early points accumulation critical for survival. Newly promoted clubs face adaptation challenges against established mid-table sides, with squad depth, managerial stability, and fixture congestion ahead of the winter period shaping momentum. Historical patterns show promoted teams often struggle initially, though defensive organization and key summer signings can shift trajectories before the March-May run-in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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