**The three newly promoted sides—Venezia, Frosinone, and Monza—stand out as the clearest relegation candidates in the early 2026-27 Serie A campaign, aligning with long-term patterns where promoted clubs rarely avoid an immediate return to Serie B.** Venezia and Frosinone earned automatic promotion via strong Serie B campaigns, while Monza advanced through the playoffs; all three return with limited top-flight experience and face a steep adjustment in squad depth and tactical demands. Pre-season modeling highlighted Monza and Frosinone with the highest relegation probabilities, driven by thinner attacking options and defensive vulnerabilities compared to survivors like Lecce, who again sit near the drop zone after narrow escapes in prior seasons. Early match results show several promoted and lower-table sides already winless, underscoring the importance of early points, summer reinforcements such as Venezia’s Akor Adams, and managerial continuity under coaches like Giovanni Stroppa and Massimiliano Alvini. Schedule difficulty, injury management, and mid-season form shifts will heavily influence which teams secure safety by May 2027.