**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS end-2026 market centers on the Milei administration’s exchange-rate band regime and sustained disinflation.** The official rate currently trades near 1,510 ARS per USD in early September 2026, within a managed band whose floor and ceiling adjust monthly in line with lagged CPI data. BCRA surveys and private forecasts (FocusEconomics, REM consensus) point to a year-end level around 1,630–1,664, reflecting monthly inflation near 1.7% and annual rates projected at 25–33%. This path supports the leading probabilities for outcomes below 1,700, as fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding $14 billion year-to-date, and limited passthrough from the currency have kept depreciation gradual despite the band’s upward drift. Key upcoming catalysts include September–December inflation prints and any adjustments to the crawl rate, which could shift implied probabilities if monthly price pressures deviate from the 1.5–2% range or if external factors alter reserve flows. Markets price these probabilities as aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital, acknowledging residual uncertainty around policy execution and external shocks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,732 Vol.
$21,732 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
44%
1600.00–1699.99
29%
1700.00–1799.99
9%
1800.00–1899.99
9%
1900.00–1999.99
1%
2000.00+
4%
$21,732 Vol.
$21,732 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
$2,465 Vol.
44%
1600.00–1699.99
$2,025 Vol.
29%
1700.00–1799.99
$2,198 Vol.
9%
1800.00–1899.99
$1,697 Vol.
9%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,576 Vol.
1%
2000.00+
$1,772 Vol.
4%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS end-2026 market centers on the Milei administration’s exchange-rate band regime and sustained disinflation.** The official rate currently trades near 1,510 ARS per USD in early September 2026, within a managed band whose floor and ceiling adjust monthly in line with lagged CPI data.
BCRA surveys and private forecasts (FocusEconomics, REM consensus) point to a year-end level around 1,630–1,664, reflecting monthly inflation near 1.7% and annual rates projected at 25–33%. This path supports the leading probabilities for outcomes below 1,700, as fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding $14 billion year-to-date, and limited passthrough from the currency have kept depreciation gradual despite the band’s upward drift.
Key upcoming catalysts include September–December inflation prints and any adjustments to the crawl rate, which could shift implied probabilities if monthly price pressures deviate from the 1.5–2% range or if external factors alter reserve flows. Markets price these probabilities as aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital, acknowledging residual uncertainty around policy execution and external shocks.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$21,732End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS end-2026 market centers on the Milei administration’s exchange-rate band regime and sustained disinflation.** The official rate currently trades near 1,510 ARS per USD in early September 2026, within a managed band whose floor and ceiling adjust monthly in line with lagged CPI data.
BCRA surveys and private forecasts (FocusEconomics, REM consensus) point to a year-end level around 1,630–1,664, reflecting monthly inflation near 1.7% and annual rates projected at 25–33%. This path supports the leading probabilities for outcomes below 1,700, as fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding $14 billion year-to-date, and limited passthrough from the currency have kept depreciation gradual despite the band’s upward drift.
Key upcoming catalysts include September–December inflation prints and any adjustments to the crawl rate, which could shift implied probabilities if monthly price pressures deviate from the 1.5–2% range or if external factors alter reserve flows. Markets price these probabilities as aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital, acknowledging residual uncertainty around policy execution and external shocks.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$21,732End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader sentiment in this Argentina official USD/ARS end-2026 market centers on the Milei administration’s exchange-rate band regime and sustained disinflation.** The official rate currently trades near 1,510 ARS per USD in early September 2026, within a managed band whose floor and ceiling adjust monthly in line with lagged CPI data. BCRA surveys and private forecasts (FocusEconomics, REM consensus) point to a year-end level around 1,630–1,664, reflecting monthly inflation near 1.7% and annual rates projected at 25–33%. This path supports the leading probabilities for outcomes below 1,700, as fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding $14 billion year-to-date, and limited passthrough from the currency have kept depreciation gradual despite the band’s upward drift. Key upcoming catalysts include September–December inflation prints and any adjustments to the crawl rate, which could shift implied probabilities if monthly price pressures deviate from the 1.5–2% range or if external factors alter reserve flows. Markets price these probabilities as aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital, acknowledging residual uncertainty around policy execution and external shocks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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