The Chicago Bears’ ongoing stadium negotiations center on long-term site selection between Arlington Heights, Illinois, and Hammond, Indiana, with the franchise’s board advancing due diligence on the latter location in June 2026 after Illinois lawmakers adjourned without passing enabling legislation. As of mid-August, team leadership reiterated sole focus on Hammond sites such as Lost Marsh and Wolf Lake, while noting minimal recent engagement with Illinois officials and confirming the current Soldier Field lease extends through 2033. Construction timelines point to potential groundbreaking no earlier than spring 2027 and a new venue opening around 2031, keeping the team’s home games and operations in Illinois well beyond December 31, 2026. On-field roster developments, injury reports, or 2026 season form have no bearing on this timeline, as the market reflects franchise real-estate and legislative realities rather than competitive performance. Trader consensus at 82% for “No” aligns with the extended planning horizon and lease commitments that preclude any departure by year-end.