Myles Garrett enters the 2026 NFL season as the clear leader in the AP Defensive Player of the Year market at 20% implied probability after his record-setting 23-sack unanimous win in 2025 and mid-offseason trade to the Los Angeles Rams. Edge rushers dominate the board, with Will Anderson Jr. (15%) and Aidan Hutchinson (13%) next due to their rising pressure rates, run-stopping impact, and consistent production on strong defenses. The competitive depth stems from multiple proven pass rushers like Maxx Crosby, Nik Bonitto, T.J. Watt, and Jalen Carter posting elite metrics, combined with voter fatigue risks for Garrett, scheme adaptation concerns on his new team, and the inherent variability of sack totals and team success early in the season. Longshots at 1-5% highlight how injuries, usage changes, or breakout performances could shift the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMyles Garrett 20%
Will Anderson Jr. 15%
Aidan Hutchinson 13%
Nik Bonitto 9%
Myles Garrett
20%
Will Anderson Jr.
15%
Aidan Hutchinson
13%
Nik Bonitto
9%
Jalen Carter
6%
Micah Parsons
5%
Maxx Crosby
4%
T.J. Watt
4%
Jared Verse
4%
Trey Hendrickson
3%
Brian Burns
3%
Danielle Hunter
3%
Nick Bosa
3%
Quinyon Mitchell
2%
Christian Gonzalez
2%
Abdul Carter
2%
Fred Warner
2%
Chris Jones
2%
Derek Stingley Jr.
2%
Patrick Surtain II
2%
Andrew Van Ginkel
2%
Brian Branch
2%
Budda Baker
2%
Chop Robinson
2%
Sauce Gardner
2%
Nolan Smith Jr.
2%
Dexter Lawrence II
2%
Kyle Hamilton
2%
Josh Hines-Allen
2%
Jessie Bates III
2%
Christian Wilkins
2%
Haason Reddick
2%
Xavier McKinney
2%
Devon Witherspoon
2%
Josh Sweat
2%
Montez Sweat
2%
Trent McDuffie
2%
Quinnen Williams
2%
Zack Baun
2%
Myles Garrett 20%
Will Anderson Jr. 15%
Aidan Hutchinson 13%
Nik Bonitto 9%
Myles Garrett
20%
Will Anderson Jr.
15%
Aidan Hutchinson
13%
Nik Bonitto
9%
Jalen Carter
6%
Micah Parsons
5%
Maxx Crosby
4%
T.J. Watt
4%
Jared Verse
4%
Trey Hendrickson
3%
Brian Burns
3%
Danielle Hunter
3%
Nick Bosa
3%
Quinyon Mitchell
2%
Christian Gonzalez
2%
Abdul Carter
2%
Fred Warner
2%
Chris Jones
2%
Derek Stingley Jr.
2%
Patrick Surtain II
2%
Andrew Van Ginkel
2%
Brian Branch
2%
Budda Baker
2%
Chop Robinson
2%
Sauce Gardner
2%
Nolan Smith Jr.
2%
Dexter Lawrence II
2%
Kyle Hamilton
2%
Josh Hines-Allen
2%
Jessie Bates III
2%
Christian Wilkins
2%
Haason Reddick
2%
Xavier McKinney
2%
Devon Witherspoon
2%
Josh Sweat
2%
Montez Sweat
2%
Trent McDuffie
2%
Quinnen Williams
2%
Zack Baun
2%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 9:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Myles Garrett enters the 2026 NFL season as the clear leader in the AP Defensive Player of the Year market at 20% implied probability after his record-setting 23-sack unanimous win in 2025 and mid-offseason trade to the Los Angeles Rams. Edge rushers dominate the board, with Will Anderson Jr. (15%) and Aidan Hutchinson (13%) next due to their rising pressure rates, run-stopping impact, and consistent production on strong defenses. The competitive depth stems from multiple proven pass rushers like Maxx Crosby, Nik Bonitto, T.J. Watt, and Jalen Carter posting elite metrics, combined with voter fatigue risks for Garrett, scheme adaptation concerns on his new team, and the inherent variability of sack totals and team success early in the season. Longshots at 1-5% highlight how injuries, usage changes, or breakout performances could shift the race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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