The even distribution of implied probabilities across dozens of quarterbacks entering the 2026 NFL season reflects deep uncertainty over who will lead in interceptions thrown. Multiple signal-callers face elevated risk profiles, including second-year starters like Cam Ward adjusting to full-time roles, rookies such as Fernando Mendoza and Shedeur Sanders stepping into starting opportunities, and veterans in new systems like Malik Willis and Geno Smith. Recent regression candidates including Matthew Stafford, Dak Prescott, and Caleb Williams add further variance, as do high-volume passers whose turnover-worthy play rates have historically fluctuated. With no dominant candidate and typical league-leading totals often falling in the 15-17 range, the market captures the wide field and situational unpredictability typical of this category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMichael Penix Jr. 99%
Cam Ward 99%
Brock Purdy 50%
Trevor Lawrence 50%
Michael Penix Jr.
99%
Cam Ward
99%
Brock Purdy
50%
Trevor Lawrence
50%
Jalen Hurts
50%
Baker Mayfield
50%
Bo Nix
50%
C.J. Stroud
50%
Daniel Jones
50%
J.J. McCarthy
50%
Josh Allen
50%
Kirk Cousins
50%
Matthew Stafford
50%
Sam Darnold
50%
Tua Tagovailoa
50%
Tyler Shough
50%
Jaxson Dart
50%
Lamar Jackson
50%
Jared Goff
50%
Drake Maye
50%
Geno Smith
50%
Jayden Daniels
50%
Malik Willis
50%
Shedeur Sanders
50%
Joe Burrow
50%
Jordan Love
50%
Kyler Murray
50%
Patrick Mahomes
50%
Bryce Young
50%
Caleb Williams
50%
Dak Prescott
50%
Fernando Mendoza
50%
Aaron Rodgers
49%
Jacoby Brissett
48%
Justin Herbert
47%
Michael Penix Jr. 99%
Cam Ward 99%
Brock Purdy 50%
Trevor Lawrence 50%
Michael Penix Jr.
99%
Cam Ward
99%
Brock Purdy
50%
Trevor Lawrence
50%
Jalen Hurts
50%
Baker Mayfield
50%
Bo Nix
50%
C.J. Stroud
50%
Daniel Jones
50%
J.J. McCarthy
50%
Josh Allen
50%
Kirk Cousins
50%
Matthew Stafford
50%
Sam Darnold
50%
Tua Tagovailoa
50%
Tyler Shough
50%
Jaxson Dart
50%
Lamar Jackson
50%
Jared Goff
50%
Drake Maye
50%
Geno Smith
50%
Jayden Daniels
50%
Malik Willis
50%
Shedeur Sanders
50%
Joe Burrow
50%
Jordan Love
50%
Kyler Murray
50%
Patrick Mahomes
50%
Bryce Young
50%
Caleb Williams
50%
Dak Prescott
50%
Fernando Mendoza
50%
Aaron Rodgers
49%
Jacoby Brissett
48%
Justin Herbert
47%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher interception percentage (interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with fewer passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in interceptions thrown within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher interception percentage (interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with fewer passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in interceptions thrown within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The even distribution of implied probabilities across dozens of quarterbacks entering the 2026 NFL season reflects deep uncertainty over who will lead in interceptions thrown. Multiple signal-callers face elevated risk profiles, including second-year starters like Cam Ward adjusting to full-time roles, rookies such as Fernando Mendoza and Shedeur Sanders stepping into starting opportunities, and veterans in new systems like Malik Willis and Geno Smith. Recent regression candidates including Matthew Stafford, Dak Prescott, and Caleb Williams add further variance, as do high-volume passers whose turnover-worthy play rates have historically fluctuated. With no dominant candidate and typical league-leading totals often falling in the 15-17 range, the market captures the wide field and situational unpredictability typical of this category.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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