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icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

Jared Goff 28%

Joe Burrow 14%

Matthew Stafford 11%

Dak Prescott 11%

Polymarket

$10,574 Vol.

Jared Goff 28%

Joe Burrow 14%

Matthew Stafford 11%

Dak Prescott 11%

Polymarket

$10,574 Vol.

Jared Goff

$439 Vol.

28%

Joe Burrow

$4,389 Vol.

14%

Matthew Stafford

$267 Vol.

11%

Dak Prescott

$307 Vol.

11%

Brock Purdy

$77 Vol.

7%

Drake Maye

$77 Vol.

5%

Josh Allen

$514 Vol.

4%

Trevor Lawrence

$1,601 Vol.

4%

Justin Herbert

$117 Vol.

4%

Patrick Mahomes

$190 Vol.

3%

Caleb Williams

$403 Vol.

3%

Jordan Love

$77 Vol.

3%

Bo Nix

$132 Vol.

3%

Sam Darnold

$77 Vol.

2%

Lamar Jackson

$82 Vol.

2%

C.J. Stroud

$111 Vol.

2%

Jayden Daniels

$133 Vol.

2%

Jalen Hurts

$140 Vol.

1%

Jaxson Dart

$77 Vol.

1%

Aaron Rodgers

$37 Vol.

1%

Daniel Jones

$37 Vol.

1%

Kyler Murray

$77 Vol.

1%

Tyler Shough

$77 Vol.

1%

Bryce Young

$87 Vol.

1%

Geno Smith

$87 Vol.

1%

Cam Ward

$87 Vol.

1%

Malik Willis

$87 Vol.

1%

Deshaun Watson

$107 Vol.

1%

Kirk Cousins

$87 Vol.

1%

Jacoby Brissett

$81 Vol.

1%

Fernando Mendoza

$87 Vol.

1%

Michael Penix Jr.

$130 Vol.

<1%

Carson Beck

$114 Vol.

<1%

Shedeur Sanders

$87 Vol.

<1%

JJ McCarthy

$87 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jared Goff leads trader consensus at 30% implied probability for the 2026-27 NFL passing touchdowns title, followed by Joe Burrow (13.5%), Matthew Stafford (11%), and Dak Prescott (10.5%).** Goff’s positioning stems from his sustained high-volume output in Detroit’s offense, including 34 touchdowns in 2025 and consistent 4,000-plus yard seasons with strong red-zone efficiency. Burrow benefits from an elite receiving duo in Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins plus recent late-season scoring surges, while Stafford’s 46-touchdown 2025 campaign and Prescott’s weapons (CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens) and inside-the-20 volume support their shares. The tight distribution reflects broad parity across multiple high-powered passing attacks entering the season, with no single quarterback holding a decisive edge in projected attempts or supporting cast.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,574
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jared Goff leads trader consensus at 30% implied probability for the 2026-27 NFL passing touchdowns title, followed by Joe Burrow (13.5%), Matthew Stafford (11%), and Dak Prescott (10.5%).** Goff’s positioning stems from his sustained high-volume output in Detroit’s offense, including 34 touchdowns in 2025 and consistent 4,000-plus yard seasons with strong red-zone efficiency. Burrow benefits from an elite receiving duo in Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins plus recent late-season scoring surges, while Stafford’s 46-touchdown 2025 campaign and Prescott’s weapons (CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens) and inside-the-20 volume support their shares. The tight distribution reflects broad parity across multiple high-powered passing attacks entering the season, with no single quarterback holding a decisive edge in projected attempts or supporting cast.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,574
End Date
Jan 12, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jared Goff" at 28%, followed by "Joe Burrow" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader" has generated $10.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader" is "Jared Goff" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joe Burrow" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.