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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 58%

Merab Dvalishvili 40%

Song Yadong 2.0%

Sean O'Malley 1.0%

Polymarket

$459,592 Vol.

Petr Yan 58%

Merab Dvalishvili 40%

Song Yadong 2.0%

Sean O'Malley 1.0%

Polymarket

$459,592 Vol.

Petr Yan

$7,643 Vol.

58%

Merab Dvalishvili

$6,963 Vol.

40%

Song Yadong

$120,030 Vol.

2%

Sean O'Malley

$9,119 Vol.

1%

Aiemann Zahabi

$62,862 Vol.

<1%

Cory Sandhagen

$4,795 Vol.

<1%

Marlon Vera

$65,405 Vol.

<1%

David Martinez

$111,042 Vol.

<1%

Mario Bautista

$23,252 Vol.

<1%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$5,343 Vol.

<1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$43,138 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan’s position as the reigning bantamweight champion, secured with a unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, anchors trader consensus at 58 percent for the end of 2026. His upcoming trilogy defense against Dvalishvili at UFC 333 in October provides the immediate test, with recent form and adjustments from prior matchups supporting Yan’s edge in the division’s top matchup. Dvalishvili’s 39 percent reflects his proven high-volume wrestling and three prior title defenses, yet the recent title loss tempers longer-term expectations. Lower-priced contenders such as Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov face steeper paths after recent results, including Nurmagomedov’s loss to Yadong, limiting their implied probabilities amid a competitive field where multiple title changes remain possible before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$459,592
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan’s position as the reigning bantamweight champion, secured with a unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, anchors trader consensus at 58 percent for the end of 2026. His upcoming trilogy defense against Dvalishvili at UFC 333 in October provides the immediate test, with recent form and adjustments from prior matchups supporting Yan’s edge in the division’s top matchup. Dvalishvili’s 39 percent reflects his proven high-volume wrestling and three prior title defenses, yet the recent title loss tempers longer-term expectations. Lower-priced contenders such as Song Yadong and Umar Nurmagomedov face steeper paths after recent results, including Nurmagomedov’s loss to Yadong, limiting their implied probabilities amid a competitive field where multiple title changes remain possible before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$459,592
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petr Yan" at 58%, followed by "Merab Dvalishvili" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $459.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Petr Yan" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.