Recent polling indicates Democratic candidates hold notable edges among women voters heading into the 2026 midterms, with generic ballot leads of 6–18 points in multiple surveys and sharp drops in Republican presidential approval among females from June to August. Older women remain a competitive bloc, with preferences shaped by priorities such as Social Security, Medicare sustainability, healthcare costs, and economic conditions. These factors have contributed to modest Democratic gains or parity in some older female subgroups compared to prior cycles, though overall senior voters continue to show more balanced or Republican-leaning patterns. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Democrats reflects these gender-specific trends and recent approval shifts, while the 25.5% Republican share accounts for persistent support among portions of the 50-plus female electorate on traditional issues. Scheduled fall campaigning and further economic data releases could influence turnout dynamics in this demographic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 6, 2026
Democrats
74%
Republicans
26%
NEW
NEW
Nov 6, 2026
Democrats
$50 Vol.
74%
Republicans
$10 Vol.
26%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent polling indicates Democratic candidates hold notable edges among women voters heading into the 2026 midterms, with generic ballot leads of 6–18 points in multiple surveys and sharp drops in Republican presidential approval among females from June to August. Older women remain a competitive bloc, with preferences shaped by priorities such as Social Security, Medicare sustainability, healthcare costs, and economic conditions. These factors have contributed to modest Democratic gains or parity in some older female subgroups compared to prior cycles, though overall senior voters continue to show more balanced or Republican-leaning patterns. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Democrats reflects these gender-specific trends and recent approval shifts, while the 25.5% Republican share accounts for persistent support among portions of the 50-plus female electorate on traditional issues. Scheduled fall campaigning and further economic data releases could influence turnout dynamics in this demographic.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$60End Date
Nov 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent polling indicates Democratic candidates hold notable edges among women voters heading into the 2026 midterms, with generic ballot leads of 6–18 points in multiple surveys and sharp drops in Republican presidential approval among females from June to August. Older women remain a competitive bloc, with preferences shaped by priorities such as Social Security, Medicare sustainability, healthcare costs, and economic conditions. These factors have contributed to modest Democratic gains or parity in some older female subgroups compared to prior cycles, though overall senior voters continue to show more balanced or Republican-leaning patterns. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Democrats reflects these gender-specific trends and recent approval shifts, while the 25.5% Republican share accounts for persistent support among portions of the 50-plus female electorate on traditional issues. Scheduled fall campaigning and further economic data releases could influence turnout dynamics in this demographic.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$60End Date
Nov 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling indicates Democratic candidates hold notable edges among women voters heading into the 2026 midterms, with generic ballot leads of 6–18 points in multiple surveys and sharp drops in Republican presidential approval among females from June to August. Older women remain a competitive bloc, with preferences shaped by priorities such as Social Security, Medicare sustainability, healthcare costs, and economic conditions. These factors have contributed to modest Democratic gains or parity in some older female subgroups compared to prior cycles, though overall senior voters continue to show more balanced or Republican-leaning patterns. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Democrats reflects these gender-specific trends and recent approval shifts, while the 25.5% Republican share accounts for persistent support among portions of the 50-plus female electorate on traditional issues. Scheduled fall campaigning and further economic data releases could influence turnout dynamics in this demographic.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions