Egypt, Bangladesh, and several Gulf states have drawn the strongest trader interest as potential early joiners to the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, a collective-security pact signed in August 2026 by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. Turkish officials have publicly described Egypt as a “natural partner” once technical matters are settled, while Bangladesh’s foreign ministry confirmed receipt of an invitation and indicated positive consideration. Speculation around Qatar, Kuwait, and even Iran has surfaced in regional reporting, though no formal accessions have occurred. Traders appear to weigh these diplomatic signals against the pact’s brief existence, the need for unanimous approval among existing members, and the short timeline to year-end, producing implied probabilities that reflect expressed interest rather than confirmed commitments. Upcoming bilateral meetings or statements from the founding capitals could shift positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
$52,457 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Kuwait
18%
Qatar
13%
Egypt
11%
Oman
10%
Bahrain
10%
Jordan
10%
Somalia
9%
Syria
9%
Lebanon
9%
Iran
8%
Yemen
8%
Algeria
8%
Iraq
7%
Sudan
7%
United Arab Emirates
7%
Morocco
6%
$52,457 Vol.
Kuwait
$2,209 Vol.
18%
Qatar
$1,897 Vol.
13%
Egypt
$7,904 Vol.
11%
Oman
$1,213 Vol.
10%
Bahrain
$1,301 Vol.
10%
Jordan
$1,187 Vol.
10%
Somalia
$4,594 Vol.
9%
Syria
$2,645 Vol.
9%
Lebanon
$2,384 Vol.
9%
Iran
$1,552 Vol.
8%
Yemen
$39 Vol.
8%
Algeria
$36 Vol.
8%
Iraq
$1,551 Vol.
7%
Sudan
$2,002 Vol.
7%
United Arab Emirates
$20,150 Vol.
7%
Morocco
$1,791 Vol.
6%
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Egypt, Bangladesh, and several Gulf states have drawn the strongest trader interest as potential early joiners to the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, a collective-security pact signed in August 2026 by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. Turkish officials have publicly described Egypt as a “natural partner” once technical matters are settled, while Bangladesh’s foreign ministry confirmed receipt of an invitation and indicated positive consideration. Speculation around Qatar, Kuwait, and even Iran has surfaced in regional reporting, though no formal accessions have occurred. Traders appear to weigh these diplomatic signals against the pact’s brief existence, the need for unanimous approval among existing members, and the short timeline to year-end, producing implied probabilities that reflect expressed interest rather than confirmed commitments. Upcoming bilateral meetings or statements from the founding capitals could shift positioning.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Volume
$52,457End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Egypt, Bangladesh, and several Gulf states have drawn the strongest trader interest as potential early joiners to the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, a collective-security pact signed in August 2026 by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. Turkish officials have publicly described Egypt as a “natural partner” once technical matters are settled, while Bangladesh’s foreign ministry confirmed receipt of an invitation and indicated positive consideration. Speculation around Qatar, Kuwait, and even Iran has surfaced in regional reporting, though no formal accessions have occurred. Traders appear to weigh these diplomatic signals against the pact’s brief existence, the need for unanimous approval among existing members, and the short timeline to year-end, producing implied probabilities that reflect expressed interest rather than confirmed commitments. Upcoming bilateral meetings or statements from the founding capitals could shift positioning.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$52,457End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Egypt, Bangladesh, and several Gulf states have drawn the strongest trader interest as potential early joiners to the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, a collective-security pact signed in August 2026 by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. Turkish officials have publicly described Egypt as a “natural partner” once technical matters are settled, while Bangladesh’s foreign ministry confirmed receipt of an invitation and indicated positive consideration. Speculation around Qatar, Kuwait, and even Iran has surfaced in regional reporting, though no formal accessions have occurred. Traders appear to weigh these diplomatic signals against the pact’s brief existence, the need for unanimous approval among existing members, and the short timeline to year-end, producing implied probabilities that reflect expressed interest rather than confirmed commitments. Upcoming bilateral meetings or statements from the founding capitals could shift positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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