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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)
Sports·Tennis

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)
Sports·Tennis

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

$58,589 Vol.

Sep 12, 2026
Polymarket

$58,589 Vol.

Polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz

$10,681 Vol.

57%

Alexander Zverev

$5,288 Vol.

55%

Learner Tien

$208 Vol.

12%

Ben Shelton

$2,206 Vol.

18%

Daniil Medvedev

$606 Vol.

12%

Frances Tiafoe

$391 Vol.

7%

Alexander Blockx

$359 Vol.

6%

Tommy Paul

$322 Vol.

5%

Francisco Cerundolo

$654 Vol.

5%

Luciano Darderi

$8 Vol.

4%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$789 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 US Open men's singles has reached the round of 16 at Flushing Meadows, with defending champion Carlos Alcaraz facing American Tommy Paul and top seed Alexander Zverev scheduled against Luciano Darderi. Recent third-round action featured upsets including Alexander Blockx eliminating fifth seed Flavio Cobolli and Francisco Cerundolo ousting ninth seed Taylor Fritz, alongside straight-set wins for Zverev and Learner Tien. Alcaraz has looked sharp in straight-set victories since returning from wrist injury, while Daniil Medvedev, Ben Shelton, and Stefanos Tsitsipas remain in contention on the hard courts. Key factors include rest advantages heading into quarterfinals, historical success for players like Medvedev on this surface, and the absence of injured top-ranked contenders that has elevated the draw's competitiveness for semifinal and final berths.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$58,589
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 US Open men's singles has reached the round of 16 at Flushing Meadows, with defending champion Carlos Alcaraz facing American Tommy Paul and top seed Alexander Zverev scheduled against Luciano Darderi. Recent third-round action featured upsets including Alexander Blockx eliminating fifth seed Flavio Cobolli and Francisco Cerundolo ousting ninth seed Taylor Fritz, alongside straight-set wins for Zverev and Learner Tien. Alcaraz has looked sharp in straight-set victories since returning from wrist injury, while Daniil Medvedev, Ben Shelton, and Stefanos Tsitsipas remain in contention on the hard courts. Key factors include rest advantages heading into quarterfinals, historical success for players like Medvedev on this surface, and the absence of injured top-ranked contenders that has elevated the draw's competitiveness for semifinal and final berths.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$58,589
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 57%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 56%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" has generated $58.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 56%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.