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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)

US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)

US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)

$13,003 Vol.

Sep 6, 2026
Polymarket

$13,003 Vol.

Polymarket

Elena Rybakina

$578 Vol.

99%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US Open 2026 women's draw has reached the round of 16 after third-round action concluded September 5, with several notable results reshaping probabilities. Coco Gauff extended her strong form by defeating Cristina Bucsa in straight sets, while Iga Swiatek and Mirra Andreeva also advanced comfortably. American hopes took hits as Amanda Anisimova fell to Anastasia Potapova and Madison Keys squandered a 5-0 lead in the third set against Qinwen Zheng. Naomi Osaka and Iva Jovic progressed in three-setters. Traders are now focused on confirmed fourth-round matchups, including Aryna Sabalenka against Taylor Townsend and Jessica Pegula versus Sorana Cirstea, where recent form, surface comfort on hard courts, and head-to-head history heavily influence implied probabilities for advancement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,003
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US Open 2026 women's draw has reached the round of 16 after third-round action concluded September 5, with several notable results reshaping probabilities. Coco Gauff extended her strong form by defeating Cristina Bucsa in straight sets, while Iga Swiatek and Mirra Andreeva also advanced comfortably. American hopes took hits as Amanda Anisimova fell to Anastasia Potapova and Madison Keys squandered a 5-0 lead in the third set against Qinwen Zheng. Naomi Osaka and Iva Jovic progressed in three-setters. Traders are now focused on confirmed fourth-round matchups, including Aryna Sabalenka against Taylor Townsend and Jessica Pegula versus Sorana Cirstea, where recent form, surface comfort on hard courts, and head-to-head history heavily influence implied probabilities for advancement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,003
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Naomi Osaka" at 100%, followed by "Iva Jovic" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)" has generated $13K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)" is "Naomi Osaka" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iva Jovic" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.