The US Open 2026 women's draw has reached the round of 16 after third-round action concluded September 5, with several notable results reshaping probabilities. Coco Gauff extended her strong form by defeating Cristina Bucsa in straight sets, while Iga Swiatek and Mirra Andreeva also advanced comfortably. American hopes took hits as Amanda Anisimova fell to Anastasia Potapova and Madison Keys squandered a 5-0 lead in the third set against Qinwen Zheng. Naomi Osaka and Iva Jovic progressed in three-setters. Traders are now focused on confirmed fourth-round matchups, including Aryna Sabalenka against Taylor Townsend and Jessica Pegula versus Sorana Cirstea, where recent form, surface comfort on hard courts, and head-to-head history heavily influence implied probabilities for advancement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$13,003 Vol.
Elena Rybakina
99%
$13,003 Vol.
Elena Rybakina
99%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The US Open 2026 women's draw has reached the round of 16 after third-round action concluded September 5, with several notable results reshaping probabilities. Coco Gauff extended her strong form by defeating Cristina Bucsa in straight sets, while Iga Swiatek and Mirra Andreeva also advanced comfortably. American hopes took hits as Amanda Anisimova fell to Anastasia Potapova and Madison Keys squandered a 5-0 lead in the third set against Qinwen Zheng. Naomi Osaka and Iva Jovic progressed in three-setters. Traders are now focused on confirmed fourth-round matchups, including Aryna Sabalenka against Taylor Townsend and Jessica Pegula versus Sorana Cirstea, where recent form, surface comfort on hard courts, and head-to-head history heavily influence implied probabilities for advancement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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