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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)

$13,003 Vol.

Sep 6, 2026
Polymarket

$13,003 Vol.

Polymarket

Belinda Bencic

$38 Vol.

No

Naomi Osaka

$189 Vol.

Yes

Iva Jovic

$78 Vol.

Yes

Diana Shnaider

$863 Vol.

No

Sorana Cirstea

$149 Vol.

Yes

Alexandra Eala

$1,233 Vol.

No

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$208 Vol.

No

Jasmine Paolini

$329 Vol.

No

Maja Chwalinska

$28 Vol.

No

Anna Kalinskaya

$27 Vol.

Yes

Madison Keys

$238 Vol.

No

Elise Mertens

$24 Vol.

No

Anastasia Potapova

$578 Vol.

Yes

Emma Navarro

$77 Vol.

Yes

Marie Bouzkova

$8 Vol.

No

Barbora Krejcikova

$8 Vol.

No

Sara Bejlek

$248 Vol.

No

Ann Li

$8 Vol.

No

Jelena Ostapenko

$934 Vol.

No

Leylah Fernandez

$8 Vol.

No

Maria Sakkari

$13 Vol.

No

Reese Brantmeier

$362 Vol.

No

Thea Frodin

$8 Vol.

No

Leolia Jeanjean

$0 Vol.

No

Sofia Kenin

$483 Vol.

No

Carol Young Suh Lee

$233 Vol.

No

Taylah Preston

$108 Vol.

No

Sloane Stephens

$167 Vol.

No

Venus Williams

$3,162 Vol.

No

Aryna Sabalenka

$338 Vol.

Yes

Elena Rybakina

$578 Vol.

Yes

Jessica Pegula

$68 Vol.

Yes

Coco Gauff

$324 Vol.

Yes

Mirra Andreeva

$481 Vol.

Yes

Linda Noskova

$132 Vol.

Yes

Karolina Muchova

$63 Vol.

No

Iga Swiatek

$558 Vol.

Yes

Elina Svitolina

$8 Vol.

No

Amanda Anisimova

$8 Vol.

No

Marta Kostyuk

$635 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the fourth round as the clear frontrunner among traders, having dropped just 15 games across her first three matches while maintaining an unblemished 17-match US Open win streak on hard courts. Coco Gauff, Jessica Pegula, and Iga Swiatek have also advanced comfortably, with Gauff posting straight-set wins amid strong recent hard-court form from Cincinnati. Elena Rybakina secured her spot despite lingering injury concerns from earlier in the summer, while several American contenders like Amanda Anisimova and Madison Keys fell in the third round, tightening the field. Upcoming fourth-round matchups pit top seeds against qualifiers and veterans such as Taylor Townsend and Sorana Cirstea, where home-crowd support and stylistic variety could create variance; historical patterns show top-8 seeds reaching this stage at high rates, though upsets remain common on outdoor hard courts in Flushing Meadows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,003
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the fourth round as the clear frontrunner among traders, having dropped just 15 games across her first three matches while maintaining an unblemished 17-match US Open win streak on hard courts. Coco Gauff, Jessica Pegula, and Iga Swiatek have also advanced comfortably, with Gauff posting straight-set wins amid strong recent hard-court form from Cincinnati. Elena Rybakina secured her spot despite lingering injury concerns from earlier in the summer, while several American contenders like Amanda Anisimova and Madison Keys fell in the third round, tightening the field. Upcoming fourth-round matchups pit top seeds against qualifiers and veterans such as Taylor Townsend and Sorana Cirstea, where home-crowd support and stylistic variety could create variance; historical patterns show top-8 seeds reaching this stage at high rates, though upsets remain common on outdoor hard courts in Flushing Meadows.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,003
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Naomi Osaka" at 100%, followed by "Iva Jovic" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)" has generated $13K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)" is "Naomi Osaka" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iva Jovic" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Round of 16 (Women's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.