SpaceX trades near $2.0 trillion as of early September 2026 following its June IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, with the stock recovering above that threshold after post-listing volatility and heavy AI-related capital expenditures. Recent quarterly revenue growth exceeding 60% year-over-year, driven by Starlink expansion and new infrastructure contracts, supports current levels, while ongoing Starship test flights and analyst price targets averaging 50% upside reflect optimism around reusability milestones and long-term revenue potential. Elevated multiples near 50-60x annualized sales amid net losses and upcoming lock-up expirations introduce downside pressure, contributing to the tight spread in Polymarket-implied probabilities across the $1.75-2.25 trillion bands. Q3 earnings and September Starship attempts represent near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment before October resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.25T+ 29%
$1.75-$2.00T 26%
$2.00-$2.25T 21%
$1.50-$1.75T 16%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
5%
$1.00-$1.25T
5%
$1.25-$1.50T
11%
$1.50-$1.75T
16%
$1.75-$2.00T
26%
$2.00-$2.25T
21%
$2.25T+
29%
$2.25T+ 29%
$1.75-$2.00T 26%
$2.00-$2.25T 21%
$1.50-$1.75T 16%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$30 Vol.
5%
$1.00-$1.25T
$30 Vol.
5%
$1.25-$1.50T
$51 Vol.
11%
$1.50-$1.75T
$30 Vol.
16%
$1.75-$2.00T
$1,340 Vol.
26%
$2.00-$2.25T
$120 Vol.
21%
$2.25T+
$2,481 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX trades near $2.0 trillion as of early September 2026 following its June IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, with the stock recovering above that threshold after post-listing volatility and heavy AI-related capital expenditures. Recent quarterly revenue growth exceeding 60% year-over-year, driven by Starlink expansion and new infrastructure contracts, supports current levels, while ongoing Starship test flights and analyst price targets averaging 50% upside reflect optimism around reusability milestones and long-term revenue potential. Elevated multiples near 50-60x annualized sales amid net losses and upcoming lock-up expirations introduce downside pressure, contributing to the tight spread in Polymarket-implied probabilities across the $1.75-2.25 trillion bands. Q3 earnings and September Starship attempts represent near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment before October resolution.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$4,082End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX trades near $2.0 trillion as of early September 2026 following its June IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, with the stock recovering above that threshold after post-listing volatility and heavy AI-related capital expenditures. Recent quarterly revenue growth exceeding 60% year-over-year, driven by Starlink expansion and new infrastructure contracts, supports current levels, while ongoing Starship test flights and analyst price targets averaging 50% upside reflect optimism around reusability milestones and long-term revenue potential. Elevated multiples near 50-60x annualized sales amid net losses and upcoming lock-up expirations introduce downside pressure, contributing to the tight spread in Polymarket-implied probabilities across the $1.75-2.25 trillion bands. Q3 earnings and September Starship attempts represent near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment before October resolution.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$4,082End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX trades near $2.0 trillion as of early September 2026 following its June IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, with the stock recovering above that threshold after post-listing volatility and heavy AI-related capital expenditures. Recent quarterly revenue growth exceeding 60% year-over-year, driven by Starlink expansion and new infrastructure contracts, supports current levels, while ongoing Starship test flights and analyst price targets averaging 50% upside reflect optimism around reusability milestones and long-term revenue potential. Elevated multiples near 50-60x annualized sales amid net losses and upcoming lock-up expirations introduce downside pressure, contributing to the tight spread in Polymarket-implied probabilities across the $1.75-2.25 trillion bands. Q3 earnings and September Starship attempts represent near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment before October resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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