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icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Lamar Jackson 14%

Dak Prescott 10.9%

Justin Herbert 11%

Josh Allen 10%

Polymarket

$663,937 Vol.

Lamar Jackson 14%

Dak Prescott 10.9%

Justin Herbert 11%

Josh Allen 10%

Polymarket

$663,937 Vol.

Lamar Jackson

$40,964 Vol.

14%

Dak Prescott

$27,423 Vol.

11%

Justin Herbert

$56,042 Vol.

11%

Josh Allen

$14,947 Vol.

10%

Joe Burrow

$20,350 Vol.

10%

Drake Maye

$18,830 Vol.

9%

Caleb Williams

$20,874 Vol.

8%

Patrick Mahomes

$8,442 Vol.

6%

Matthew Stafford

$11,245 Vol.

4%

Brock Purdy

$19,005 Vol.

3%

Jordan Love

$11,718 Vol.

3%

Jalen Hurts

$13,315 Vol.

3%

Trevor Lawrence

$10,194 Vol.

2%

Bo Nix

$10,929 Vol.

2%

Jared Goff

$9,377 Vol.

1%

Jahmyr Gibbs

$14,366 Vol.

1%

Sam Darnold

$11,271 Vol.

1%

Jaxson Dart

$20,012 Vol.

1%

Baker Mayfield

$111,076 Vol.

1%

Christian McCaffrey

$11,158 Vol.

<1%

Saquon Barkley

$130,728 Vol.

<1%

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

$11,524 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Henry

$8,155 Vol.

<1%

De'Von Achane

$7,516 Vol.

<1%

Puka Nacua

$5,826 Vol.

<1%

Justin Jefferson

$12,585 Vol.

<1%

Myles Garrett

$7,863 Vol.

<1%

Bijan Robinson

$6,988 Vol.

<1%

Player J

$11,215 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among the leading candidates for 2026 NFL MVP reflects the depth of quarterback talent and the early-season uncertainty that typically defines this award race. Lamar Jackson holds a modest edge at 14%, but Dak Prescott, Justin Herbert, Joe Burrow, and Josh Allen sit within a few points, underscoring how recent form, offensive production, and team success can shift quickly once regular-season games begin. Factors such as passing efficiency, rushing contributions from dual-threat signal-callers, and defensive impacts from standouts like Myles Garrett keep multiple paths open. Historical patterns show MVP voting often hinges on late surges, win totals, and advanced stats like EPA per play, leaving room for underdogs like Drake Maye or Caleb Williams to climb with strong starts.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$663,937
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among the leading candidates for 2026 NFL MVP reflects the depth of quarterback talent and the early-season uncertainty that typically defines this award race. Lamar Jackson holds a modest edge at 14%, but Dak Prescott, Justin Herbert, Joe Burrow, and Josh Allen sit within a few points, underscoring how recent form, offensive production, and team success can shift quickly once regular-season games begin. Factors such as passing efficiency, rushing contributions from dual-threat signal-callers, and defensive impacts from standouts like Myles Garrett keep multiple paths open. Historical patterns show MVP voting often hinges on late surges, win totals, and advanced stats like EPA per play, leaving room for underdogs like Drake Maye or Caleb Williams to climb with strong starts.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$663,937
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lamar Jackson" at 14%, followed by "Dak Prescott" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" has generated $663.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is "Lamar Jackson" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dak Prescott" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.