Narendra Modi’s third term as India’s prime minister, secured in the 2024 general election, runs until mid-2029 under the Lok Sabha’s fixed five-year schedule. Recent cabinet adjustments and BJP planning focus explicitly on strengthening the NDA’s position ahead of the next national vote, with no constitutional or procedural triggers—such as a successful no-confidence motion or mandatory resignation—forcing an exit before December 2026. Public polling continues to rank Modi as the leading preference for the role despite modest dips in approval, while opposition assertions of an imminent departure remain unsubstantiated partisan commentary. Fact-checks have repeatedly dismissed circulating claims of resignation, and the government’s parliamentary arithmetic shows continued stability. These structural and political realities underpin the overwhelming trader view that Modi will remain in office through the end of the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
$250,559 Vol.
$250,559 Vol.
$250,559 Vol.
$250,559 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s third term as India’s prime minister, secured in the 2024 general election, runs until mid-2029 under the Lok Sabha’s fixed five-year schedule. Recent cabinet adjustments and BJP planning focus explicitly on strengthening the NDA’s position ahead of the next national vote, with no constitutional or procedural triggers—such as a successful no-confidence motion or mandatory resignation—forcing an exit before December 2026. Public polling continues to rank Modi as the leading preference for the role despite modest dips in approval, while opposition assertions of an imminent departure remain unsubstantiated partisan commentary. Fact-checks have repeatedly dismissed circulating claims of resignation, and the government’s parliamentary arithmetic shows continued stability. These structural and political realities underpin the overwhelming trader view that Modi will remain in office through the end of the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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