Narendra Modi’s incumbency as prime minister, heading an NDA coalition government with no national election scheduled until 2029, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office through December 2026. Recent India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation polling shows the NDA projected to secure a Lok Sabha majority if elections were held now, while Modi retains the lead as preferred prime minister despite a modest dip in personal ratings. Active governance measures, including September 2026 inaugurations of major rail and road projects in Gujarat, continue to demonstrate ongoing executive authority. Opposition statements questioning the longevity of his leadership have not altered parliamentary arithmetic or triggered procedural challenges capable of forcing an early exit. These factors sustain the market’s strong consensus on continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6% chance
$251,078 Vol.
$251,078 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
6% chance
$251,078 Vol.
$251,078 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s incumbency as prime minister, heading an NDA coalition government with no national election scheduled until 2029, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office through December 2026. Recent India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation polling shows the NDA projected to secure a Lok Sabha majority if elections were held now, while Modi retains the lead as preferred prime minister despite a modest dip in personal ratings. Active governance measures, including September 2026 inaugurations of major rail and road projects in Gujarat, continue to demonstrate ongoing executive authority. Opposition statements questioning the longevity of his leadership have not altered parliamentary arithmetic or triggered procedural challenges capable of forcing an early exit. These factors sustain the market’s strong consensus on continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$251,078End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s incumbency as prime minister, heading an NDA coalition government with no national election scheduled until 2029, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office through December 2026. Recent India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation polling shows the NDA projected to secure a Lok Sabha majority if elections were held now, while Modi retains the lead as preferred prime minister despite a modest dip in personal ratings. Active governance measures, including September 2026 inaugurations of major rail and road projects in Gujarat, continue to demonstrate ongoing executive authority. Opposition statements questioning the longevity of his leadership have not altered parliamentary arithmetic or triggered procedural challenges capable of forcing an early exit. These factors sustain the market’s strong consensus on continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$251,078End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s incumbency as prime minister, heading an NDA coalition government with no national election scheduled until 2029, anchors trader expectations that he will remain in office through December 2026. Recent India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation polling shows the NDA projected to secure a Lok Sabha majority if elections were held now, while Modi retains the lead as preferred prime minister despite a modest dip in personal ratings. Active governance measures, including September 2026 inaugurations of major rail and road projects in Gujarat, continue to demonstrate ongoing executive authority. Opposition statements questioning the longevity of his leadership have not altered parliamentary arithmetic or triggered procedural challenges capable of forcing an early exit. These factors sustain the market’s strong consensus on continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions