Meta’s current market capitalization hovers near $1.57 trillion amid robust advertising revenue growth of 28% year-over-year in Q2 2026, reaching $60.8 billion, alongside steady user expansion across its Family of Apps. Trader sentiment reflects a balance between this core strength and elevated capital expenditures on AI infrastructure, now guided at $130–145 billion for the year, plus one-time legal and severance costs that pressured net income. Recent releases of proprietary Muse models, including agentic capabilities in Spark 1.3 and open-weight options like Glimmer 30B, position Meta competitively in large language model development and potential enterprise monetization, though timelines for broader returns remain uncertain. A multibillion-dollar teen safety settlement, payable over years, adds a defined but manageable overhang, while upcoming Q3 results and any further model updates could serve as near-term catalysts before October resolution. The tight clustering of leading outcomes around $1.25–1.75 trillion underscores ongoing debate over whether AI-driven efficiencies and ad pricing gains will offset spending intensity in the short window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.50-$1.75T 35%
$1.25-$1.50T 32%
$1.75-$2.00T 26%
$1.00-$1.25T 7%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
6%
$1.00-$1.25T
7%
$1.25-$1.50T
32%
$1.50-$1.75T
35%
$1.75-$2.00T
26%
$2.00-$2.25T
5%
$2.25T+
5%
$1.50-$1.75T 35%
$1.25-$1.50T 32%
$1.75-$2.00T 26%
$1.00-$1.25T 7%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$20 Vol.
6%
$1.00-$1.25T
$694 Vol.
7%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 Vol.
32%
$1.50-$1.75T
$658 Vol.
35%
$1.75-$2.00T
$1,053 Vol.
26%
$2.00-$2.25T
$123 Vol.
5%
$2.25T+
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current market capitalization hovers near $1.57 trillion amid robust advertising revenue growth of 28% year-over-year in Q2 2026, reaching $60.8 billion, alongside steady user expansion across its Family of Apps. Trader sentiment reflects a balance between this core strength and elevated capital expenditures on AI infrastructure, now guided at $130–145 billion for the year, plus one-time legal and severance costs that pressured net income. Recent releases of proprietary Muse models, including agentic capabilities in Spark 1.3 and open-weight options like Glimmer 30B, position Meta competitively in large language model development and potential enterprise monetization, though timelines for broader returns remain uncertain. A multibillion-dollar teen safety settlement, payable over years, adds a defined but manageable overhang, while upcoming Q3 results and any further model updates could serve as near-term catalysts before October resolution. The tight clustering of leading outcomes around $1.25–1.75 trillion underscores ongoing debate over whether AI-driven efficiencies and ad pricing gains will offset spending intensity in the short window.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$2,548End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current market capitalization hovers near $1.57 trillion amid robust advertising revenue growth of 28% year-over-year in Q2 2026, reaching $60.8 billion, alongside steady user expansion across its Family of Apps. Trader sentiment reflects a balance between this core strength and elevated capital expenditures on AI infrastructure, now guided at $130–145 billion for the year, plus one-time legal and severance costs that pressured net income. Recent releases of proprietary Muse models, including agentic capabilities in Spark 1.3 and open-weight options like Glimmer 30B, position Meta competitively in large language model development and potential enterprise monetization, though timelines for broader returns remain uncertain. A multibillion-dollar teen safety settlement, payable over years, adds a defined but manageable overhang, while upcoming Q3 results and any further model updates could serve as near-term catalysts before October resolution. The tight clustering of leading outcomes around $1.25–1.75 trillion underscores ongoing debate over whether AI-driven efficiencies and ad pricing gains will offset spending intensity in the short window.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$2,548End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meta’s current market capitalization hovers near $1.57 trillion amid robust advertising revenue growth of 28% year-over-year in Q2 2026, reaching $60.8 billion, alongside steady user expansion across its Family of Apps. Trader sentiment reflects a balance between this core strength and elevated capital expenditures on AI infrastructure, now guided at $130–145 billion for the year, plus one-time legal and severance costs that pressured net income. Recent releases of proprietary Muse models, including agentic capabilities in Spark 1.3 and open-weight options like Glimmer 30B, position Meta competitively in large language model development and potential enterprise monetization, though timelines for broader returns remain uncertain. A multibillion-dollar teen safety settlement, payable over years, adds a defined but manageable overhang, while upcoming Q3 results and any further model updates could serve as near-term catalysts before October resolution. The tight clustering of leading outcomes around $1.25–1.75 trillion underscores ongoing debate over whether AI-driven efficiencies and ad pricing gains will offset spending intensity in the short window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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