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icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Mayoral

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

icon for Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Mayoral

Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner

Bill Harvey 23%

Harvey Lennon 22%

Ryan Posselt 14%

Louise Bloomfield 13%

Polymarket
NEW

Bill Harvey 23%

Harvey Lennon 22%

Ryan Posselt 14%

Louise Bloomfield 13%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$333 Vol.

23%

icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$50 Vol.

22%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$103 Vol.

14%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$70 Vol.

13%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$81 Vol.

13%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$91 Vol.

12%

icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$120 Vol.

10%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, triggered by Anna Reynolds’s decision not to seek re-election, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents ahead of the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. Recent announcements, including John Kelly’s September 4 entry, have further fragmented support across candidates such as Bill Harvey, Harvey Lennon, Ryan Posselt, Louise Bloomfield, Mike Dutta, and Marti Zucco. With nominations opening only days ago and no dominant polling yet available, traders price the race as highly competitive, reflecting uncertainty over preference flows in a multi-candidate ballot and the absence of an established frontrunner. Upcoming candidate forums and formal nominations could begin to separate the field by clarifying platforms on transport, short-stay accommodation, and council governance.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$848
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, triggered by Anna Reynolds’s decision not to seek re-election, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents ahead of the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. Recent announcements, including John Kelly’s September 4 entry, have further fragmented support across candidates such as Bill Harvey, Harvey Lennon, Ryan Posselt, Louise Bloomfield, Mike Dutta, and Marti Zucco. With nominations opening only days ago and no dominant polling yet available, traders price the race as highly competitive, reflecting uncertainty over preference flows in a multi-candidate ballot and the absence of an established frontrunner. Upcoming candidate forums and formal nominations could begin to separate the field by clarifying platforms on transport, short-stay accommodation, and council governance.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$848
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bill Harvey" at 23%, followed by "Harvey Lennon" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" is "Bill Harvey" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harvey Lennon" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hobart Lord Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.