Padraig Harrington and Jordan Smith sit nearly even at the top of the Irish Open winner market due to their proven links form and recent DP World Tour consistency at a new Doonbeg venue that rewards accuracy off the tee and strong short games. Harrington brings unmatched local knowledge and a 31st consecutive appearance as an Irish veteran, while Smith has posted steady results on similar coastal layouts. A deep field featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry, Reed, and Koepka creates broad competition, but traders appear to view the top two as holding the clearest edges in course fit and current momentum heading into the Thursday start. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched near 47 percent each.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJordan Smith 94%
Ignacio Elvira 79%
Jayden Schaper 18%
Angel Ayora 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Jordan Smith
94%
Ignacio Elvira
79%
Jayden Schaper
18%
Angel Ayora
17%
Daniel Bradbury
16%
Darius van Driel
16%
Ivan Cantero
16%
Kazuma Kobori
16%
Niklas Noergaard
16%
Ben Schmidt
14%
Joseph Dean
14%
Mikael Lindberg
10%
Bernd Wiesberger
9%
Calum Hill
9%
Joel Girrbach
9%
Jon Rahm
7%
Joaquin Niemann
4%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
3%
Matt Wallace
3%
Alex Fitzpatrick
3%
Patrick Reed
3%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
3%
Harry Hall
2%
Hennie Du Plessis
2%
Jacob Skov Olesen
2%
Oliver Lindell
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Casey Jarvis
2%
Daniel Hillier
2%
Antoine Rozner
2%
David Puig
2%
Ewen Ferguson
2%
Haotong Li
2%
Laurie Canter
2%
Matthew Jordan
2%
Danny Willett
2%
Erik van Rooyen
2%
Joakim Lagergren
2%
Jordan Gumberg
2%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
2%
Maximilian Steinlechner
2%
Adrian Otaegui
1%
Alejandro Del Rey
1%
Ashun Wu
1%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
1%
Brandon Stone
1%
Connor Syme
1%
Daniel Rodrigues
1%
David Ravetto
1%
Davis Bryant
1%
Dylan Frittelli
1%
Eddie Pepperell
1%
Francesco Laporta
1%
Francesco Molinari
1%
Freddy Schott
1%
Frederic Lacroix
1%
Grant Forrest
1%
Gregorio De Leo
1%
Guido Migliozzi
1%
J. C. Ritchie
1%
Jacques Kruyswijk
1%
Jason Scrivener
1%
Jeff Winther
1%
Jens Dantorp
1%
Johannes Veerman
1%
John Catlin
1%
Joost Luiten
1%
Jorge Campillo
1%
Adrian Meronk
1%
Andy Sullivan
1%
Angel Hidalgo
1%
Julien Guerrier
1%
Jung-Hwan Lee
1%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
1%
Kota Kaneko
1%
Manuel Elvira
1%
Marcel Schneider
1%
Marcus Armitage
1%
Marcus Helligkilde
1%
Mark Power
1%
Martin Couvra
1%
Matteo Manassero
1%
Michael Hollick
1%
Nathan Kimsey
1%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
1%
Niklas Lemke
1%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
1%
Padraig Harrington
1%
Paul Waring
1%
Cormac Sharvin
1%
Daniel Gavins
1%
David Micheluzzi
1%
Dylan Naidoo
1%
Frankie Capan
1%
Jack Senior
1%
Jeong-Weon Ko
1%
Liam Nolan
1%
Luke Donald
1%
Max Kennedy
1%
Pablo Larrazabal
1%
Jordan Smith 94%
Ignacio Elvira 79%
Jayden Schaper 18%
Angel Ayora 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Jordan Smith
$0 Vol.
94%
Ignacio Elvira
$0 Vol.
79%
Jayden Schaper
$0 Vol.
18%
Angel Ayora
$0 Vol.
17%
Daniel Bradbury
$0 Vol.
16%
Darius van Driel
$0 Vol.
16%
Ivan Cantero
$0 Vol.
16%
Kazuma Kobori
$0 Vol.
16%
Niklas Noergaard
$0 Vol.
16%
Ben Schmidt
$0 Vol.
14%
Joseph Dean
$0 Vol.
14%
Mikael Lindberg
$0 Vol.
10%
Bernd Wiesberger
$0 Vol.
9%
Calum Hill
$0 Vol.
9%
Joel Girrbach
$0 Vol.
9%
Jon Rahm
$0 Vol.
7%
Joaquin Niemann
$0 Vol.
4%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
$0 Vol.
3%
Matt Wallace
$0 Vol.
3%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$0 Vol.
3%
Patrick Reed
$0 Vol.
3%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
$0 Vol.
3%
Harry Hall
$0 Vol.
2%
Hennie Du Plessis
$0 Vol.
2%
Jacob Skov Olesen
$0 Vol.
2%
Oliver Lindell
$0 Vol.
2%
Brooks Koepka
$0 Vol.
2%
Casey Jarvis
$0 Vol.
2%
Daniel Hillier
$0 Vol.
2%
Antoine Rozner
$0 Vol.
2%
David Puig
$0 Vol.
2%
Ewen Ferguson
$0 Vol.
2%
Haotong Li
$0 Vol.
2%
Laurie Canter
$0 Vol.
2%
Matthew Jordan
$0 Vol.
2%
Danny Willett
$0 Vol.
2%
Erik van Rooyen
$0 Vol.
2%
Joakim Lagergren
$0 Vol.
2%
Jordan Gumberg
$0 Vol.
2%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
$0 Vol.
2%
Maximilian Steinlechner
$0 Vol.
2%
Adrian Otaegui
$0 Vol.
1%
Alejandro Del Rey
$0 Vol.
1%
Ashun Wu
$0 Vol.
1%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
$0 Vol.
1%
Brandon Stone
$0 Vol.
1%
Connor Syme
$0 Vol.
1%
Daniel Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
1%
David Ravetto
$0 Vol.
1%
Davis Bryant
$0 Vol.
1%
Dylan Frittelli
$0 Vol.
1%
Eddie Pepperell
$0 Vol.
1%
Francesco Laporta
$0 Vol.
1%
Francesco Molinari
$0 Vol.
1%
Freddy Schott
$0 Vol.
1%
Frederic Lacroix
$0 Vol.
1%
Grant Forrest
$0 Vol.
1%
Gregorio De Leo
$0 Vol.
1%
Guido Migliozzi
$0 Vol.
1%
J. C. Ritchie
$0 Vol.
1%
Jacques Kruyswijk
$0 Vol.
1%
Jason Scrivener
$0 Vol.
1%
Jeff Winther
$0 Vol.
1%
Jens Dantorp
$0 Vol.
1%
Johannes Veerman
$0 Vol.
1%
John Catlin
$0 Vol.
1%
Joost Luiten
$0 Vol.
1%
Jorge Campillo
$0 Vol.
1%
Adrian Meronk
$0 Vol.
1%
Andy Sullivan
$0 Vol.
1%
Angel Hidalgo
$0 Vol.
1%
Julien Guerrier
$0 Vol.
1%
Jung-Hwan Lee
$0 Vol.
1%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
$0 Vol.
1%
Kota Kaneko
$0 Vol.
1%
Manuel Elvira
$0 Vol.
1%
Marcel Schneider
$0 Vol.
1%
Marcus Armitage
$0 Vol.
1%
Marcus Helligkilde
$0 Vol.
1%
Mark Power
$0 Vol.
1%
Martin Couvra
$0 Vol.
1%
Matteo Manassero
$0 Vol.
1%
Michael Hollick
$0 Vol.
1%
Nathan Kimsey
$0 Vol.
1%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
$0 Vol.
1%
Niklas Lemke
$0 Vol.
1%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
$0 Vol.
1%
Padraig Harrington
$0 Vol.
1%
Paul Waring
$0 Vol.
1%
Cormac Sharvin
$25 Vol.
1%
Daniel Gavins
$25 Vol.
1%
David Micheluzzi
$25 Vol.
1%
Dylan Naidoo
$25 Vol.
1%
Frankie Capan
$25 Vol.
1%
Jack Senior
$25 Vol.
1%
Jeong-Weon Ko
$25 Vol.
1%
Liam Nolan
$25 Vol.
1%
Luke Donald
$25 Vol.
1%
Max Kennedy
$25 Vol.
1%
Pablo Larrazabal
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).Padraig Harrington and Jordan Smith sit nearly even at the top of the Irish Open winner market due to their proven links form and recent DP World Tour consistency at a new Doonbeg venue that rewards accuracy off the tee and strong short games. Harrington brings unmatched local knowledge and a 31st consecutive appearance as an Irish veteran, while Smith has posted steady results on similar coastal layouts. A deep field featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry, Reed, and Koepka creates broad competition, but traders appear to view the top two as holding the clearest edges in course fit and current momentum heading into the Thursday start. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched near 47 percent each.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$275End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).Padraig Harrington and Jordan Smith sit nearly even at the top of the Irish Open winner market due to their proven links form and recent DP World Tour consistency at a new Doonbeg venue that rewards accuracy off the tee and strong short games. Harrington brings unmatched local knowledge and a 31st consecutive appearance as an Irish veteran, while Smith has posted steady results on similar coastal layouts. A deep field featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry, Reed, and Koepka creates broad competition, but traders appear to view the top two as holding the clearest edges in course fit and current momentum heading into the Thursday start. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched near 47 percent each.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Irish Open tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Irish Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Irish Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Volume
$275End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Padraig Harrington and Jordan Smith sit nearly even at the top of the Irish Open winner market due to their proven links form and recent DP World Tour consistency at a new Doonbeg venue that rewards accuracy off the tee and strong short games. Harrington brings unmatched local knowledge and a 31st consecutive appearance as an Irish veteran, while Smith has posted steady results on similar coastal layouts. A deep field featuring McIlroy, Rahm, Lowry, Reed, and Koepka creates broad competition, but traders appear to view the top two as holding the clearest edges in course fit and current momentum heading into the Thursday start. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched near 47 percent each.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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